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'Coincidental' Explosions Further Heighten Iran-Israel Tensions

night view of ahvaz iran

Night view of Ahvaz city in southern Iran. On July 4, 2020, at Shaid Medhhaj, a power plant in Ahvaz, a fire broke out, resulting in a chlorine leak and transformer explosion. (Reza Ebrahimi/Dreamstime)

Micah Halpern By Saturday, 11 July 2020 09:33 AM EDT Current | Bio | Archive

Important strategic military and national sites in Iran are blowing up. Catching fire and blowing up that is. When you ask Iranian leadership, they say that the destruction is simply a series of mishaps, that just seem to be taking place in similar sites, within a very short period of time.

That they are all coincidences.

Only one of these incidents has been properly covered in the Western media.

It took place back on Thursday, July 2.

An explosion and fire broke out in Natanz, just outside of Tehran.

Natanz is one of Iran’s, not so secret, secret nuclear sites. Most of the facility is buried deep below the ground. The fire broke out above ground, in a facility that stored gas filled centrifuges. This precise explosion and fire, limited to the centrifuges, may have set back Iran’s timetable for creating a nuclear bomb by twelve months.

Here are some "coincidences" that the Western press did not cover:

The next day, Friday, July 3, an explosion destroyed a missile depot belonging to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). At the very same time there were explosions and power outages reported in two cities, Quds and Garmdoreh.

On Monday, July 6, two people were killed and three injured in the Sepahan Brosh factory in Baqershahr, near Teheran. The factory manufactured military parts for the IRGC.

And then there was the gas storage facility near Teheran that suffered an explosion and a fire. And a power outage in a major medical facility. And also a fire, on July 4, at Shaid Medhhaj, a power plant in Ahvaz.

One hour later there was a chlorine leak and a transformer exploded.

There were more. On video, I watched nighttime fires at several power stations. The flames were visible for miles. But the incidents, these "coincidences," were not covered to any extent in the Western media.

However, the ex-patriot Iranian press is covering them.

Some Arabic press has covered them. And the Israeli press had its own coverage.

Only Iranian leadership had the gumption to call these incidents coincidence and to minimize them. All other fingers are pointing at Israel for engineering a computer hack that is causing these mishaps. (although they are investigating at internal sabotage at Natanz)

Given the history between Iran and Israel and given the dynamics in the region, let alone the usual and constant verbal vitriol, the theory makes sense.

But, according to Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz, the man in rotation to become prime minister after Netanyahu and former chief of Israel’s Defense Forces (IDF), all these mysterious events in Iran are "not necessarily" the work of Israel.

So, Iran is also now looking at local sabotage as an option for these disasters.

It may all be a smoke screen.

Israel is almost certainly responsible for the breakdown of the nuclear facility.

Israel has said that they will never let Iran attain a nuke. And that attack, like many of the other attacks, seems to mimic the Israeli initiated Stuxnet series of cyber attacks employed against Iran in the past. There are, however, unconfirmed and unsubstantiated whispers saying that one, if not several, of the explosions were not cyber hacks.

They are being touted as the work of Israel’s stealth and invisible F-35 fighter jet.

The downside of Israel’s cyber-counter-attacks, assuming they were hacks and perpetrated by Israel, is that Iran will now be able to decipher and decode these specific secret cyber-techniques.

Once Iran’s cyber units learn what happened and how it all happened, they can use what they learned against other of their enemies. And Israel will have to go back to the proverbial cyber warfare drawing board. The hacks they used against Iran can never again be used again against Iran. The Iranians will be on the lookout and set up a defense against any variant form of those hacks.

Israel can use an attack method one time only.

In terms of security and defense, that’s a small price for Israel to pay.

It was essential for Israel to let Iran know that they are extremely vulnerable.

To prove it to them over and then over again. Iran’s unsuccessful, but none-the-less highly advanced attack against Israel’s water and chlorine mixture facility, broke through the glass ceiling.

Israel needed to respond and let Iran know that, at any moment and in so many crippling ways, Israel can strike.

Iran will respond, that’s a definite. One of Iran’s behavioral traits is tit for tat.

But the Iranians are patient. They are not immediate in their response time.

Their modus operandi, is to lick their wounds, gather details and then pounce.

Because so many people are pointing the finger at Israel and because so many are saying that it was a series of cyber-attacks, Iranian leadership interpret this as a violation of their prowess and technical skills.

And they are not pleased.

Tehran will launch counters to Israel’s counter. Hopefully, they will be repelled.

Israel will not publicize most of the attacks against them, not dissimilar to Iran.

It’s all about national ego. Israel will probably release information on some of the attacks.

They will even watch as an attack advances through a computer system to give Iran the satisfaction of success.

Attack, counter attack. Computers. It sounds like a game.

It’s more than a mere game, it’s life and death.

Micah Halpern is a political and foreign affairs commentator. He founded "The Micah Report" and hosts "Thinking Out Loud with Micah Halpern" a weekly TV program and "My Chopp" a daily radio spot. A dynamic speaker, he specializes in analyzing world events and evaluating their relevance and impact. Follow him on Twitter @MicahHalpern. Read Micah Halpern's Reports — More Here.

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Israel will not publicize most of the attacks against them, not dissimilar to Iran. It’s all about national ego. Israel will probably release information on some of the attacks.It sounds like a game. It’s more than a mere game, it’s life and death.
gas, nuclear
Saturday, 11 July 2020 09:33 AM
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