Michael D. McDonald works at the United States Elections Project
, and the University of Florida professor is reporting that 159.14 million of 239.25 million eligible voters, or 66.5%, cast ballots in this year's still undecided presidential race.
Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina are three states that favor President Trump, but none has yet been called for him by Newsmax. Each state has a statistically higher turnout than the national average: North Carolina, 74.1%; Pennsylvania, 73.1%; and Georgia, 69.5%.
If Newsmax should declare the three states for President Trump, he would have 265 electoral votes, and a clear path to victory.
Thus, an examination of the turnout, results and outstanding votes in several key counties in each state, which have heavily favored former Vice President Joe Biden, is most timely, as extended litigation from either the Trump or Biden camp might ensue before the final winner is declared.
I will start with Newsmax's vote totals for Georgia, whose outstanding vote is less than 1% of the total:
Donald Trump: 2,432,552
Joe Biden: 2,413,966
Jo Jorgensen: 60,403
Total Votes: 4,906,921
Thus, President Trump leads by a slim 18,586 votes, with more than 99% of the votes tallied and with fewer than 49,000 votes outstanding. The Atlanta Journal Constitution reports Thursday afternoon that President Trump's lead had shrunk from 372,000 at midnight on Wednesday to 23,000 at midnight on Thursday.
Results in Georgia by county from Fox News show Fulton and De Kalb, in and around Atlanta, have very large and very pro-Biden tallies. Both would undoubtedly attract intense scrutiny if a recount in the state is judicially ordered:
||De Kalb County
Based on Census Bureau demographics from July 2019, I calculated that both counties had turnouts of approximately 70% in this election, a statistically higher than the national average of 66.5%.
Moreover, in the 2016 presidential election, Fulton County recorded only 430,599 votes, or roughly 66,000 fewer than this year. De Kalb had 312,504 votes, or roughly 50,000 fewer.
If President Trump's lawyers eventually challenge in court, the declaration by the Georgia Board of Elections that Joe Biden won its 16 electoral votes, these two counties should be scrutinized for illegal voters, who might include: out-of-state students at local colleges who voted in both states; voters who cast a mail-in and in-person ballots; and voters who were ineligible non-citizens.
Secondly, Newsmax reported on Thursday at noon that President Trump was leading in Pennsylvania by 116,226 votes with 98.2% of 6,413,526 votes cast. An extrapolation yields that only 99,560 outstanding votes, which is why the president tweeted earlier that day "stop the vote counting," at least in Pennsylvania, and award him the crucial 20 electoral votes.
But, in case of litigation, Philadelphia and Montgomery counties should be the among those in Pennsylvania drawing the attention of President Trump's lawyers. Fox News reports the following totals for both counties:
Thirdly, Newsmax reported that in North Carolina, President Trump was leading by 76,701, with 4,454,888 votes cast, or 99%. An extrapolation yields only 44,999 votes outstanding. This is another hotly contested state that should heed President Trump's admonition "to stop the counting," and award him the 15 electoral votes.
However, if litigation is required to win North Carolina's, the president's lawyers should focus on:
In a follow-up article, I will analyze the Democratic counties in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin that also have highly anomalous and suspicious results, and that have heavily favored former Vice President Joe Biden.
But, after nearly three days of intently scrutinizing returns from the hotly contested states, I am firmly convinced that President Donald Trump won re-election fair and square, and that his innumerable Democratic opponents in at least seven states, are trying to illegally evict him from the White House.
Mark Schulte is a retired New City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read Mark Schulte's Report's — More Here.
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