During Thursday night's presidential debate, former Vice President Joe Biden repeated the "Big Lie," which he also disseminated during the September debate, that the "expectation is we'll have another 200,000 American dead between now and the end of the year."
Not surprisingly, Joe Biden, an inveterate liar, did not identify who are the sources of this tendentious, hysteria-inducing "expectation."
With 70 days left in 2020, this would mean that nearly 2,900 Americans would have to die daily for Biden's demagogic prediction to be grimly realized.
But as moderator Kristen Welker pointed out, in her first question, that "since the two of you last shared a stage, 16,000 Americans have died from COVID."
Since there are 23 days between Sept. 29 and Oct. 22, Welker implied that 696 American died daily from the coronavirus between the two debates.
Inexcusably, she did not challenge Biden about his rabble-rousing prediction, which he repeated later in the debate that "we're about to lose 200,000 more people."
But, as I documented in a Newsmax article on Oct. 5, his demagogic prediction has zero chance of happening.
Additionally, NBC's White House correspondent erroneously claimed that the "country is heading into a dangerous new phase" of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic.
In reality, weekly deaths, according to the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention's "Provisional COVID Death Totals" as of Oct. 23," have been steadily decreasing since Aug 1.
This table gives the weekly COVID and deaths from all causes for the last two and one-half months:
||Deaths All Causes
Despite Joe Biden's and Kristen Welker's "Fake Epidemiology," the number of daily COVID deaths plunged from 1,167, for the week ending Aug. 1, to 524, for the week ending Sept. 26. Since these most reliable of the CDC's deaths totals lag by a few weeks, I am not citing the COVID tolls for the weeks ending on October 3 and 10, but each final total will be encouragingly lower than that of the previous week.
In contrast to the tag team of Biden and Welker, President Donald Trump provided a much more accurate picture of the epidemic's course since Feb. 2020.
First, President Trump's claim that the "mortality rate is down 85%" is a fantastic update, even though it is slightly higher than the 79% decline between the peak week ending on April 18, with 17,077 deaths, to the week ending Sept. 25, with 3,669 fatalities.
However, with the weekly fatalities continuing to decline during October, the president's claim of a remarkable "85%" reduction will soon be fulfilled.
President Trump also told his fellow Americans during the Oct. 22 debate that the "excess mortality rate is way down and much lower than almost any other country."
As far as America is concerned, while the president did not supply specific data, he is correct that "excess deaths" this year are not even close to the 200,000 claimed by some epidemiologists and journalists.
Indeed, as the above table also demonstrates, the number of deaths from all causes have also declined sharply from the week ending Aug. 1, with 63,664, to the week ending Sept. 26, with 53,968.
The worst week during the SARs-CoV-2 epidemic ended on April 11, with 78,935 deaths, which is 25,000 more than the most recent complete total.
There were 2.85 million deaths in America in 2019, and I estimate there will be approximately 3 million this year, or a 150,000 increase.
But one must account for the inexorably rising annual deaths of America's Baby Boomers, which a 2014 Census Bureau study
predicted would soar from 466,000 in 2012 to 837,000 in 2020.
Since this study predicted 785,000 Baby Boomer deaths in 2019, these 52,000 additional projected deaths in 2020 must be added to the last year's 2.85 million yielding a baseline of 2.902 million before calculating this year's "excess deaths."
In fact, as of Oct. 21, Baby Boomers between 55 and 74 years of age have disproportionately accounted for 71,580 of America's 207,882 COVID deaths, or 34%. Yet we account for only 23% of America's total population.
Undoubtedly, there will be roughly 100,000 "excess deaths" this year, or a 3% increase, but they are not all attributable to the SAR-CoV-2 virus.
According to the CDC's "Provisional Weekly Death Totals," 214,683 Americans died from pneumonia this year, including 95,229 who also had COVID-19. This means 119,454 Americans who died in 2020 from pneumonia were not infected by this virus, which is approximately 65,000 more than the normal annual pneumonia death toll.
Finally, the Democratic-orchestrated "COVID Fake Epidemiology Campaign," which has been nefariously designed to wreck the American economy to destroy the Trump presidency, has failed, as did the Russian and Ukrainian hoaxes.
On Nov. 3, President Donald Trump will be triumphantly re-elected, I predict, with at least 330 electoral votes.
Mark Schulte is a retired New City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read Mark Schulte's Report's — More Here.
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