Tags: census | reapportionment

Suspiciously High Census Tallies in Dem States, Low in GOP States

a chess king next to a map of red and blue states
Census numbers can be a kingmaker for states, but are they accurate? (Dreamstime)

By Tuesday, 04 May 2021 10:09 AM Current | Bio | Archive

My first article about the highly suspicious state tallies in the 2020 Census, which are used to reapportion 432 U.S. House of Representative seats, was published in Newsmax on April 29. Since the passage of the 23rd Amendment to the Constitution in 1961, the District of Columbia has been allotted three electoral votes.

Last week's op-ed documented that five heavily-populated Democratic states had miniscule annual increases in between 2010 and 2019, but whose populations mind-bogglingly exploded between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020.

Specifically, between 2010 and 2019, the combined population of New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Michigan and New Jersey totally stagnated, inching up just 210,000 residents: from 63,587,000 to 63,797,000, or an infinitesimal three-tenths of 1%.

But between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020, the combined population of these five Democratic mega-states allegedly skyrocketed by 1,632,000 residents, from 63,797,000 to 65,429,000, or 2.6%.

This nine-month increase extrapolates to 2,176,000 more residents, or a preposterous, 3.4% gain, for the one year between July 1, 2019 and July 1, 2020.

Between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020, the "smallest" increase among these dysfunctional states, with Democratic governors, was Michigan's 97,000, and the largest was New York's 762,000 people.

By contrast, the combined population of four heavily-populated, thriving Republican states — Texas, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina — leaped from 59,874,000 in 2010 to 68,241,000 in 2019. This is an 8,367,000 gain, or 14% over nine years, or 1.6% yearly.

But the Census Bureau is preposterously claiming that these Republican mega-states only increased by a combined microscopic 126,000 residents between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020: from 68,241,000 to 68,367,000, or two-tenths of 1%.

This improbably feeble growth, over nine months, extrapolates to 168,000 for one year, or two-tenths of 1%.

More problematically, the U.S. Census is reporting that Arizona's population decreased by 120,000 or 1.6%, during these eight months: from 7,279,000 to 7,159,000.

However, between 2010 and 2019, Arizona's population soared by 887,000, or 13.9%: from 6,392,000 to 7,279,000, or 99,000 annually.

Similarly, the Census claims that between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020, North Carolina's population fell by 34,000: from 10,488,000 to 10,454,000 residents.

But like Arizona, the Tar Heel State boomed by 953,000 residents, or 9.9%, between 2010 and 2019: from 9,535,000 to 10,488,000, or 106,000 annually.

Since writing last week's article, I discovered other noteworthy fluctuations, in Illinois and New York, between 2010 and 2019.

I had originally focused on Illinois' decline, from 12,831,000 in 2010, to 12,672,000 in 2019, or a 159,000 loss. And the state's subsequent boom of 151,000 residents between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020: from 12,672,000 to 12,823,000.

But Illinois' population decline, in the second decade of the 21st century, actually occurred between 2013, when it was 12,895,000, which was an increase of 64,000 residents since 2010; and 2019, when it was 12,672,000. This is a 223,000 loss between 2013 and 2019, or 37,000 per year.

Moreover, an extrapolation of the Prairie State's 151,000 explosion, between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020, for an entire year, yields a highly unlikely 201,000 additional residents.

Similarly, New York State's population increased by 277,000 residents between 2010 and 2015: from 19,378,000 to 19,655,000.

But then between 2015 and 2019, the Empire State's population plunged by 201,000: from 19,655,000 to 19,454,000. This is a 50,000 drop annually.
Thus, New York's highly-suspicious, spectacular growth of 762,000 residents, or 3.9%, from 19,454,000 to 20,216,000, between July 1, 2019 and April 1, 2020, if extrapolated for one year, equals a phantasmagorical 1,016,000 additional residents.

To summarize: The 2020 Census tallies for the 50 states are not only suspiciously high for five Democratic-controlled mega-states, but also anomalously low for four Republican ones.

To be continued.

Mark Schulte is a retired New York City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read Mark Schulte's Reports — More Here.

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MarkSchulte
The 2020 Census tallies for the 50 states are not only suspiciously high for five Democratic-controlled mega-states, but also anomalously low for four Republican ones.
census, reapportionment
659
2021-09-04
Tuesday, 04 May 2021 10:09 AM
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