Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton has surpassed Republican rival Donald Trump in the latest statewide Florida poll.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research conducted a four-way matchup including the two third-party candidates Libertarian Gary Johnson and the Green Party's Jill Stein.
- Clinton: 46 percent;
- Trump: 42 percent;
- Johnson: 7 percent;
- Stein: 1 percent;
- Undecided: 4 percent.
Their previous poll from August showed Clinton with a slim two-point lead over her GOP opponent.
Clinton finds the most support in Southeast Florida, while Trump's comes from North and Southwest Florida.
"In the generally decisive I-4 corridor, Clinton currently has a slight advantage," Brad Coker, Mason-Dixon pollster, wrote in a memo from Politico. "She now has a 47 percent - 40 percent lead in the swing Tampa Bay area, while Trump only leads 46 percent - 43 percent in more Republican leaning Central Florida."
Men prefer Trump over Clinton, almost as much as women prefer Clinton over Trump.
- Men for Clinton: 37 percent;
- Men for Trump: 49 percent;
- Women for Clinton: 54 percent;
- Women for Trump: 36 percent.
Trump sways older voters, while Clinton holds onto young voters, with Johnson gaining a strong following among 18-34 year olds. Clinton can't sway white voters away from Trump and Johnson, but has the overwhelming majority of black voters, and a strong majority of Hispanic voters.
Democrats support Clinton more than Republicans support Trump.
- Dems for Clinton: 83 percent;
- Dems for Trump: 10 percent;
- GOP for Clinton: 13 percent;
- GOP for Trump: 77 percent.
"Despite small shifts that have given Clinton a post-debate bump, the race is still very competitive and the outcome will hinge on where and among whom voter turnout is higher," Coker said.
Mason-Dixon polled 820 registered likely voters in Florida from Sept. 27 to Sept. 29 by phone, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points.
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