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Tags: Trump Administration | Donald Trump | Hillary Clinton | NY Times | Trump | Chances | Winning

NY Times: Trump's Chance of Winning Is 7 Percent

NY Times: Trump's Chance of Winning Is 7 Percent

(AP Images)

By    |   Friday, 21 October 2016 12:35 PM

Hillary Clinton has clinched the election according to The New York Times, which estimates she has a 93 percent chance of winning.

Using the latest state and national polls, the Times found that Clinton's chances have improved the most in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. If Clinton wins those three states she wins the White House, according to the Times' map of the 1,024 paths to the White House.

The Times gives Clinton an 80 percent chance to take Florida, 95 percent to win Pennsylvania and 55 percent to win Ohio. Even if Republican candidate Donald Trump were to win Ohio, Clinton would only have to take North Carolina, which she has a 71 percent chance to win.

FiveThirtyEight, which also use a statistical model to predict the election, give Trump a slightly better chance of winning at just under 14 percent. They forecast that Clinton has a 90 percent chance of winning the popular vote, a 74.5 percent chance of winning Florida, and 87.9 percent chance of winning Pennsylvania, and a 61.7 percent chance of winning Ohio.

"Hillary Clinton is probably going to be the next president," FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver wrote on Thursday, following the final presidential debate. Trump "doesn't have an obvious — or even a not-so-obvious — path to the presidency."

Other statistical predictors, including the Princeton Election Consortium say that Clinton will likely win the election.

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Headline
Hillary Clinton has clinched the election according to The New York Times, which estimates she has a 93 percent chance of winning.
NY Times, Trump, Chances, Winning
230
2016-35-21
Friday, 21 October 2016 12:35 PM
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