Tags: 2020 Elections | GEN | GENTOP | GLOBALMACR | GOV | NORTHAM | POL

FiveThirtyEight: Biden Now Predicted to Win 352 Electoral Votes

Friday, 25 September 2020 01:31 PM

Joe Biden’s chances of winning the Electoral College rose to 76.7%, according to the latest run of poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model, from 76.6% on Sept. 24. He is predicted to win 352 of 538 electoral votes.

  • The model estimated Donald Trump’s chances at 22.8%, down from 22.9% on Sept. 24
  • According to the Sept. 25 run of the model, Trump had a 11.1% chance of carrying the popular vote, compared with Biden’s 88.9%
  • The national polling average for Trump reached 43.1% on Sept. 25, unchanged from Sept. 24
  • Biden’s national polling average reached 50.3% on Sept. 25 compared with 50.2% on Sept. 24
  • These were the FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts and polling averages by state on Sept. 25:
  • Major polls added to FiveThirtyEight’s poll database in the last 24 hours:

NOTE: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters according to their historical accuracy. For the purposes of this story, the lowest possible rating for a major poll is B-. In 2016, FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote but missed with its Electoral College forecast.

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Joe Biden's chances of winning the Electoral College rose to 76.7%, according to the latest run of poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight's election forecasting model, from 76.6% on Sept. 24. He is predicted to win 352 of 538 electoral votes.The model estimated Donald Trump's...
GEN, GENTOP, GLOBALMACR, GOV, NORTHAM, POL, TOP, US, WORLD, WWTOP, WWTOPAM
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2020-31-25
Friday, 25 September 2020 01:31 PM
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