Tags: 2020 Elections | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Polls | error | klofstad | margin

We'll See if the Polls Are Right This Time

political polls and surveys

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By Thursday, 29 October 2020 12:45 PM Current | Bio | Archive

How reliable are polls?
At the time of this writing, national polls showed that former Vice President Joe Biden was leading President Trump: Biden had a 50% approval rating versus 43% for Trump.

But can voters believe those numbers?

Many remember the 2016 presidential election when Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton was favored to win, according to the polls.

Are polls reliable?

According to Casey Klofstad, "Yes." He is a professor of political science, who has spent much of his academic career studying and conducting polls. "But polls are not infallible," he pointed out.

Polls are designed to represent the opinions of the population on a particular subject or contest. There is no way to poll everyone in a population. Instead, pollsters randomly select and survey a smaller subset.

When done correctly, random sampling allows the pollster to make an accurate estimate of the opinions of the entire population. This estimate includes a margin of error, a number that represents uncertainty about the poll’s findings because of the fact that only a subset of the population was surveyed.

So here we go, with a under one week to go before the election.

Will the polls be right will the polls be right this time? We shall see. 

George Noory hosts the nationally syndicated radio program, Coast to Coast AM, heard by more than 10 million listeners on nearly 620 stations and ranked in the Top 12 largest U.S. audiences by Talkers Magazine. Captivating program listeners with his discussions of all things curious and unexplained, George has a unique roster of fascinating guests ranging from scientists to conspiracy theorists, in his quest for truth, fueled by his desire to solve the great mysteries of our time. Born, raised, and educated in Detroit, George served nine years in the U.S. Naval Reserve and has three children and six grandchildren. Read George Noory's Reports — More Here.

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When done correctly, random sampling allows the pollster to make an accurate estimate of the opinions of the entire population.
error, klofstad, margin, sampling
Thursday, 29 October 2020 12:45 PM
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