Tags: iea | oil | price | report

IEA: Crude Price Will Soon Soar

By    |   Thursday, 06 Nov 2008 10:32 AM

The price of crude oil will quickly pass $100 a barrel on its way back up, in part because output from the world's oil fields is declining at a rate of 9 percent, the International Energy Agency says.

The new figures are more than double the IEA's former long-term price targets.

"While market imbalances could temporarily cause prices to fall back, it is becoming increasingly apparent that the era of cheap oil is over," the agency says.

“Oil is the world's most vital source of energy and will remain so for many years to come,” the report declares.

“The immediate risk to supply is not one of a lack of global resources, but rather a lack of investment where it is needed.”

The IEA estimates that oil majors need to invest $350 billion a year to replace older wells and to meet demand from fast growing economies like China.

IEA estimates that remaining proven reserves of oil and natural gas “range from about 1.2 to 1.3 trillion barrels,” enough to supply the world for over 40 years at current rates of consumption.

Ian Taylor at energy trader Vitol believes the oil industry itself stands at the edge of a wave of consolidation.

"This is the best opportunity for 15 to 20 years,” Taylor told the Financial Times. “Many companies are trading at below the value of their assets."

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The price of crude oil will quickly pass $100 a barrel on its way back up, in part because output from the world's oil fields is declining at a rate of 9 percent, the International Energy Agency says.The new figures are more than double the IEA's former long-term price...
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Thursday, 06 Nov 2008 10:32 AM
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