Billionaire investor Stan Druckenmiller says the next financial crisis will be worse than the last due to soaring levels of debt.
“We have this massive debt problem,” Druckenmiller said an interview with Kiril Sokoloff, chairman of 13D Global Strategy & Research. “We tripled down on what caused the crisis. And we tripled down on it globally.”
Druckenmiller joins a growing list of Wall Street financiers and money managers who have predicted debt will trigger a crisis. Citadel’s Ken Griffin earlier this week cautioned that a debt-fueled buying binge is laying the seeds for the next economic downturn. DoubleLine Capital’s Jeffrey Gundlach said in June that the soaring U.S. budget deficit at a time of rising rates may be setting the stage for fiscal trouble.
- The Federal Reserve has passed up on 'many golden opportunities' to raise rates, Druckenmiller said. “I would raise rates every meeting as long as I could. And the minute you got substantial disruption, I would back off.”
- Debt is a much more challenging issue now. The reason “debt has exploded” is that “there’s no hurdle rate for investment. And when you can borrow money at zero, of course, debt is going to explode.”
- Even with regulatory hurdles, Druckenmiller said he isn’t ready to sell Google, citing the company’s leadership in artificial intelligence and its 'unbelievable search machine.'
- Druckenmiller said he has built his career on trading the bonds and currency markets because they’re liquid markets that trade 24 hours a day. That has appeal, he said, “because I could change my mind” on bets.
Druckenmiller gave the interview on Sept. 6 in New York and a transcript was published Friday by Real Vision, a subscription video service.
Business Insider earlier reported on the interview.
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