Tags: yields | negative | bond | treasury

How US Yields Could Go Negative

How US Yields Could Go Negative
(Dreamstime)

Sunday, 03 November 2019 09:52 AM

Negative interest rates! They’re all the rage in Europe, but could this trend come to the U.S. financial system in the foreseeable future?

Lauren Goodwin, an economist and multi-asset portfolio strategist at New York Life Investment Management, explains how it could happen on the latest episode of the “What Goes Up’’ podcast.

“Two major things go into U.S. yields,” says Goodwin. “One of them is expectations for the Fed funds rate, which would go to zero if we move into a recession in the U.S.; The other thing is the term premium.”

“What makes term premiums zero or even negative, as they’ve been in the U.S. even this year, are things like investor fears; some of the concerns we’ve seen about global growth, trade wars,” she says. “So if you see the U.S. inch a little closer to recession and see some of these fears take hold, you could easily see negative U.S. yields.’’

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Negative interest rates! They’re all the rage in Europe, but could this trend come to the U.S. financial system in the foreseeable future?
yields, negative, bond, treasury
154
2019-52-03
Sunday, 03 November 2019 09:52 AM
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