×
Newsmax TV & Webwww.newsmax.comFREE - In Google Play
VIEW
×
Newsmax TV & Webwww.newsmax.comFREE - On the App Store
VIEW
Tags: investors | bearish | 2008 | crisis

Investors Haven't Been This Bearish Since 2008 Financial Crisis

Investors Haven't Been This Bearish Since 2008 Financial Crisis
(2bears/Dreamstime)

Tuesday, 18 June 2019 08:27 AM EDT

Investors haven’t been this pessimistic since the global financial crisis of 2008.

That’s according to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey of money managers with $528 billion between them. Equity allocations saw the second-biggest drop on record, while cash holdings jumped by the most since the 2011 debt-ceiling crisis, the June poll showed. Concerns about the trade war, a recession and “monetary policy impotence” all contributed to the bearish sentiment, Bank of America said.

While stocks kicked off June in the green after last month’s sell-off, they have struggled to gain momentum. Investors worried about the lack of progress in U.S.-China trade talks and weak economic data are keenly watching the upcoming G-20 meeting and the Federal Reserve rate decision in the next couple of weeks.

Global growth expectations collapsed, Bank of America said, with half of the surveyed fund managers forecasting weakness over the next 12 months. The surge in cash levels set off the strategists’ contrarian buy signal for stocks, even as the poll showed relative exposure to equities over bonds narrowed to the tightest level since May 2009.

“Fund manager survey allocation is implying recessionary conditions,” Bank of America strategists led by Michael Hartnett said in a note. “Investors are overweight assets that outperform when interest rates & earnings fall and underweight those positively correlated to rising growth and inflation.”

Inflows into government bonds and a rally in defensive stocks show that investors are increasingly positioned for bad news. The survey conducted between June 7 and 13 showed a rotation into fixed income, cash, utilities and staples and away from banking, tech and euro-area shares.

Other takeaways from the survey include:

  • Being long U.S. Treasuries is now the world’s most crowded trade, replacing U.S. tech stocks
  • Trade-war concerns are soaring, with 56% of surveyed investors saying it’s the top tail risk
  • Fund managers expect the Fed to cut rates if the S&P 500 falls to 2,430 and expect President Trump to seek a comprehensive trade deal if the benchmark drops to 2,350
  • Interest rate expectations have tumbled as 32% of those in fund manager survey expect short-term interest rates to fall over the next 12 months

© Copyright 2023 Bloomberg News. All rights reserved.


Economy
Global growth expectations have collapsed, according to a Bank of America survey.
investors, bearish, 2008, crisis
360
2019-27-18
Tuesday, 18 June 2019 08:27 AM
Newsmax Media, Inc.

Sign up for Newsmax’s Daily Newsletter

Receive breaking news and original analysis - sent right to your inbox.

(Optional for Local News)
Privacy: We never share your email address.
Join the Newsmax Community
Read and Post Comments
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
 
Get Newsmax Text Alerts
TOP

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved