Tags: democrat | midterms | wave election | trump | approval rating

Democrat's Chances for Midterm Wave Continue to Shrink

Democrat's Chances for Midterm Wave Continue to Shrink
U.S. House Minority Leader Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) speaks during her weekly news conference April 19, 2018, on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

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Thursday, 19 April 2018 04:39 PM Current | Bio | Archive

Storm clouds are gathering over Democrat’s hopes for a “blue wave” this November. It seems the current president is spoiling their plans with a favorable economy and rising approval ratings.

There is no question the Democrats have the advantage at this point in the later part of April, but nowhere near what they had wished for six months ago. A new Washington Post-ABC News poll sees their lead shrinking dramatically since January.

The gap has narrowed considerably between Democratic and Republican House candidates. Add to that President Trump’s rise in popularity and the ingredients for major Democratic gains are not there. In fact, losses are expected in the Senate.

Naturally the Democrats are looking for Republican weakness. They feel they have found it with the gun control issue. But have they really? Recent polls suggest the country is not in agreement with the more extreme left wing of the Democratic Party and their anti-Second Amendment stance. Unfortunately for moderates, they hold the purse strings on party donations.

Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi may be a vocal advocate for stricter gun control, but candidates in her own party are running against her views in their own primaries. She has become the poster child for many of the GOP campaign ads. Her mere image sparks deep opinions among the voting electorate and that is not good for fledging Democrats running for the first time throughout the country.

The above-mentioned poll indicated 47 percent of registered voters say they prefer the Democratic candidate in their district, while 43 percent favor the Republican. The hard part for Democrats to swallow is that four-point margin was a 12-point advantage just four months ago.

The Post-ABC poll also indicated that 40 percent approve of the president’s job performance, up from 36 percent in January. White voters prefer Republicans by a 14-point margin over Democrats; up five points since January.

While most of the liberal media continues to predict catastrophe for the Republicans in November, quite the contrary is happening. With the economy and stock market soaring, unemployment hitting record lows, and the widening belief that de-nuclearizing of the Korean Peninsula is in sight, Democrats have plenty to worry about.

It appears Donald Trump is triumphing over anything the liberals throw at him from Story Daniels to fraternizing with the Russians. The American people like what they see and the polling is clearly indicating it.

The news gets darker for the Democrats. Post-ABC poll finds parity in stated voting intentions. In fact, among registered voters, 68 percent of both Republican-leaning and Democratic-leaning registered voters say they are certain they will vote.

Figures like that generally tend to favor Republicans who are more likely to vote rain or shine. A heartened voter is twice as likely to come out to the polls as a disgruntled one. The 68 percent number is an ominous warning for Democrats.

In Post-ABC polls ahead of the 2010 and 2014 midterm elections, Republicans averaged a double-digit advantage in intentions to vote. Democrats suffered major losses in both years. It is not just the Post-ABC poll; other polls also see a narrowing in Democratic midterm advantage.

The Democrats are clamoring for a message that sticks. Clearly the gun control issue is not it. The Post-ABC poll indicates neither political party is getting an advantage from the issue.

Meanwhile, the Republicans are taking full advantage of liberal Nancy Pelosi from San Francisco. It appears the message of the 2016 presidential election is not resonating on campaign strategists at the DNC. While Democrats hold a majority of the registered voters in this country, many of them distance themselves from the far left which includes House Majority Leader Pelosi.

Curiously, the Post-ABC poll showed a mere 17 percent of voters say a candidate’s views on Pelosi will be extremely important. That could go far in explaining how Democratic candidates for Congress are distancing themselves from her.

The majority leader has a negative image with 44 percent of Americans. Republicans widely dislike her with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly. It is likely that her unpopular ratings could affect congressional races where voters are concerned she could become the majority leader.

The question becomes, is Nancy Pelosi invaluable because of her fundraising skills or a detriment because of her far left San Francisco liberalism? The question then becomes, how much did the Democrats learn from Trump’s victory?

The left controls a vast majority of the media outlets. It can safely be said that the type of news they want Americans to read is not pro-Trump. It can also be said that they may have counted their chickens before they hatched for this year’s midterm elections, much like November of 2016.

Dwight L. Schwab, Jr. is an award-winning national political and foreign affairs columnist and published author. He has spent over 35 years in the publishing industry. His long-running articles include many years at Examiner.com and currently Newsblaze.com. Dwight is an author of two highly acclaimed books, "Redistribution of Common Sense - Selected Commentaries on the Obama Administration 2009-2014" and "The Game Changer - America's Most Stunning Election in History." He is a native of Portland, Oregon, a journalism graduate from the University of Oregon, and a resident of the SF Bay Area. To read more of his reports — Click Here Now.

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DwightLSchwab
Storm clouds are gathering over Democrat’s hopes for a “blue wave” this November. It seems the current president is spoiling their plans with a favorable economy and rising approval ratings.
democrat, midterms, wave election, trump, approval rating
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2018-39-19
Thursday, 19 April 2018 04:39 PM
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