Tags: Polls | gary johnson | libertarian | win | new mexico

Poll: Gary Johnson Could Win New Mexico, Create Electoral College Deadlock

Image: Poll: Gary Johnson Could Win New Mexico, Create Electoral College Deadlock

Gary Johnson (Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

By    |   Monday, 03 Oct 2016 12:12 PM

Gary Johnson is riding high in New Mexico, according to a new poll — so much so that he could even best Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in the November presidential election, a top numbers-cruncher says.

In a poll released Sunday by The Albuquerque Journal, the former New Mexico governor and Libertarian presidential candidate received 24 percent to Clinton's 35 percent, Trump's 31 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein's 2 percent.

Nate Silver of the election-polling blog FiveThirtyEight says the poll shows it is "plausible" Johnson could take the Land of Enchantment state.

"Because New Mexico hasn't been polled much, the survey had a fair amount of influence on our forecast, reducing Clinton's chances of winning New Mexico to 82 percent from 85 percent in the polls-only model," Silver said.

"Most of the time, Trump would be the beneficiary of a Clinton loss in New Mexico. But the model also assigns Johnson, the Libertarian Party's presidential nominee, an outside chance — 2 or 3 percent — of winning the state."

The Journal's poll of 501 likely New Mexico voters was Sept. 27-29 and has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.

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Gary Johnson is riding high in New Mexico, according to a new poll — so much so that he could even best Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton in the November presidential election, a top numbers-cruncher says.
gary johnson, libertarian, win, new mexico
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2016-12-03
Monday, 03 Oct 2016 12:12 PM
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