The Wall Street Journal
reported that the Obama administration had given up on a long-standing condition that the Iranians would reveal their past nuclear weapons work, but such a concession undermines the ability of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to analyze the level of development that America is trying to deter, according the Israel Project.
In a fact sheet prepared by Omri Ceren,
the group makes the case that the revelation will be "politically toxic on Capitol Hill."
"The Obama administration has spent the last two years promising lawmakers that, whatever else would happen, Iran would at least have to fully resolve the possible military dimensions of their program. It had to be that way," Ceren wrote.
He noted that while the White House did not secure any concession that would preclude the Iranians from developing their nuclear program, officials insisted that the Iranians would be deterred from doing so because of a robust verification regime.
"But any robust verification regime requires, as a prerequisite, that the IAEA have full insight into what the Iranians have done and what they've stockpiled."
The Obama administration had promised lawmakers that verification was the priority in the agreement with Iran, that the possible military dimensions were the central vehicle for verification, and that the Iranians would agree to revolve those issues.
"Now the administration will move the goalposts," Ceren wrote. "They'll argue they never needed Iranian cooperation because the U.S. intelligence community has adequate insight into the Iranian nuclear program and that they've shared that intelligence with the IAEA."
There are policy problems with those claims, he said, because the U.S. intelligence community and the IAEA do not have adequate intelligence to fulfill its promises.
As a result, he said, the White House will have a political problem.
"White House officials asked lawmakers for breathing room to conduct talks, and in exchange they promised to secure a resolution to the PMD [possible military dimensions] issue as the basis for the verification regime. They said it was the most important element of the most important part of the entire Iran deal," he said.
"They'll have to justify collapsing on it."
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