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Hurricane Maria Spaghetti Models All Agree East Coast Safe

Image: Hurricane Maria Spaghetti Models All Agree East Coast Safe

By    |   Thursday, 21 Sep 2017 07:59 AM

Hurricane Maria's spaghetti models agree the U.S. East Coast is safe for now, but experts said mainlanders should still stay informed about the storm's progress.

One of the models – which resemble strands of cooked spaghetti when overlaying each other – produced by the Weather Underground shows the eye of Maria, which slammed into Puerto Rico on Wednesday as a Category 4 hurricane, spinning out to sea once it takes a sharp, northern turn.

The track is similar to other models before Maria hit the U.S. island U.S. territory, showing that the storm would spare Florida, which was recently ravaged by Hurricane Irma.

Fox News' meteorologist Janice Dean said the East Coast should still keep an eye open as Maria makes it move north.

"Maria is forecast to turn northward as it enters the Bahamas, so we'll have to monitor the forecast for potential East Coast impacts next week or a complete turn back out into the Atlantic," Dean said on her Fox News weather blog.

The BBC News said Hurricane Maria left power outages throughout Puerto Rico while dumping enough rain to cause "catastrophic" flooding on the island. Fox News said Maria's core was about 70 miles north of Punta Cana, Dominican Republic on Thursday morning with wind gusts of 115 miles per hour.

Spaghetti weather models, also known as spaghetti plots, are becoming familiar to weather watchers this hurricane season as they collectively show projections of various storm forecasts and predictions, The Weather Channel said.

"One major advantage spaghetti models have is when most of the models overlap, this is a big confidence booster for forecasters because most of the models have the same idea, even if they are getting to it different ways," Weather Channel meteorologist Jonathan Belles said on its website.

"Another confidence booster is consistency between forecast model runs. When numerous runs show similar ideas and stay consistent with those ideas, it can be helpful for forecasters," he added.

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Hurricane Maria's spaghetti models agree the U.S. East Coast is safe for now, but experts said mainlanders should still stay informed about the storm's progress.
hurricane maria, spaghetti, models, east coast, safe
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2017-59-21
Thursday, 21 Sep 2017 07:59 AM
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