Tags: Climate Change | Global Warming | U.N. | climate change | overstated | wrong | hot

Researcher: UN's 2014 'Hottest Year' Claim Misleading

By    |   Monday, 02 February 2015 07:32 PM

By declaring 2014 the "hottest year on record" and blaming higher temperatures for floods and droughts, the United Nations' top climate official was premature, alarmist and at odds with the U.N.'s own data on climate change, a Heritage Foundation researcher writes in The Daily Signal.

The U.N.'s own Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) "doesn't come close" to backing up statements made on Monday by Michel Jarraud, Secretary General of the U.N. World Meteorological Organization (WMO), writes Katie Tubb, a Heritage research assistant for economic policy studies.

"We expect global warming to continue," Jarraud said in a WMO press release, "given that rising levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and the increasing heat content of the oceans are committing us to a warmer future."

Jarraud said that 2014's "record-breaking heat combined with torrential rainfall and floods in many countries and drought in some others" were "consistent with the expectation of a changing climate.”

But the U.N.'s own climate researchers don't even go that far, as Heritage has previously reported.

The IPCC's 2013 climate change survey stated that "there is not enough evidence at present to suggest more than low confidence in a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness (lack of rainfall) since the middle of the 20th century," and that "conclusions regarding global increasing trends in drought since the 1970s were probably overstated."

Moreover, the 2014 temperature data that Jarraud is touting now is likely to undergo revisions, writes Tubb, citing climate blogger Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology, who in December advised caution toward the WMO's preliminary report on 2014 temperatures.

"We won’t really have a good assessment on the temperatures for 2014 until about March 2015, when all of the observations have been assembled and quality controlled," wrote Curry, a veteran of NASA, NOAA and the Department of Energy.

"Even if one or several data sets do find 2014 to be the hottest year, given the uncertainties, one can only conclude that this is one of the top five or so warmest years," Curry wrote.

Tubb writes there is also a growing rift observed by Curry between what climate models predict and what's actually happening, because even as greenhouse gas emissions have increased, global surface temperatures in the new century have leveled off.

"In other words, the U.N.’s press release today is nothing to write home about," Tubb writes, "let alone wave as proof that America needs to move forward with proposed and misguided climate policies that stand to do incredible damage to America’s economy and freedoms without making a dent in global temperatures."

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By declaring 2014 the hottest year on record and blaming higher temperatures for floods and droughts, the United Nations' top climate official was premature, alarmist and at odds with the U.N.'s own data on climate change, a Heritage Foundation researcher writes in The...
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2015-32-02
Monday, 02 February 2015 07:32 PM
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