Fox News' battleground map now favors Republican nominee Donald Trump, though Democrat Hillary Clinton holds a slight advantage in the Electoral College.
If Clinton wins every state rated "solid" or "leaning" Democrat, she can reach more than 270 electoral votes, enough to win her the White House. If Trump wins all the "lean Republican" states and all the "solid Republican" states, he'll reach 215 electoral votes, meaning he must win the toss-up states and steal at least one that leans Democrat.
According to Trump's campaign manager Kellyanne Conway, the upper Midwest is the key to the Republican's victory.
"It would be one of those upper Midwest states — like a Michigan or Wisconsin, Minnesota — and/or one of those Rocky Mountain states. So we've had our eye for a while on bringing back these states that have voted Republican in the non-presidential years and where the poll numbers have been tightening and where we've at least been able to be semi-competitive on the air and on the ground with the Clinton campaign," she said on "Good Morning America" Monday.
National Public Radio's battleground map matches Fox News' almost exactly, Clinton holding a 274 electoral votes, Trump with a predicted 214, and 50 labeled "toss-up."
Arizona, Iowa, and Utah went from "toss-ups" to "lean Republican;" Nevada switched from "toss up" to "lean Democrat," and North Carolina changed from "lean Democrat" to "toss-up."
With the exception of Nevada, each change improved Trump's chances, though a Monday Fox News poll showed Clinton's lead over Trump rose to 4 points nationwide.
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