Hillary Clinton has kept her lead over Donald Trump in Florida, but only by 2 percentage points, according to a new Mason-Dixon Research & Associates poll, which also shows the billionaire Republican is less liked than the former secretary of state.
With third-party candidates, Libertarian Gary Johnson and the Green Party's Jill Stein, included, Clinton beats Trump, but her edge is within the survey's 4-point margin of error:
- Clinton: 44 percent;
- Trump: 42 percent;
- Johnson: 6 percent;
- Stein: 2 percent;
- Undecided: 6 percent.
Clinton and Trump are both disliked more than they're liked, but Trump even more so:
- Clinton favorable: 35 percent;
- Clinton unfavorable: 45 percent;
- Clinton neutral: 20 percent;
- Trump favorable: 29;
- Trump unfavorable: 52 percent;
- Trump neutral: 19 percent.
'Who knows what's going to happen in two months with these two candidates? Nothing would surprise me," Brad Coker, Mason-Dixon pollster, told Politico. "The race is basically tied, and really anything can happen."
Clinton has more support among African-American and Hispanic voters, but Trump leads among non-Hispanic whites:
- Clinton Hispanic support: 63 percent;
- Clinton black support: 91 percent;
- Clinton white support: 29 percent;
- Trump Hispanic support: 27 percent;
- Trump black support: 5 percent;
- Trump white support: 54 percent.
Clinton has the majority of women voters, but Trump leads with men:
- Clinton women: 51 percent;
- Clinton men: 36 percent;
- Trump women: 37 percent;
- Trump men: 47 percent.
'The wildcard factor, at least as we saw during the primary, was that Trump brought in voters who weren't regular participants," Coker continued. 'But if she holds the Obama coalition together, she probably wins."
On Friday, The Guardian reported that Stephen Bannon, Trump's campaign chief executive, is registered to vote in Florida at a vacant house in Miami-Dade County. According to the Trump campaign, Bannon lives in Florida, but resides at "another location," The New York Daily News said.
"I don't know what tomorrow's going to bring," Coker concluded. "It's almost Labor Day in Florida. And the race for the highest office in the land is close. And that's not a surprise."
Mason-Dixon contacted 625 likely voters by phone from Aug. 22-24. The results have a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points.
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