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ABC Tracking Poll: Trump Surges, Cuts Hillary Lead

ABC Tracking Poll: Trump Surges, Cuts Hillary Lead

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By    |   Friday, 28 October 2016 09:33 AM

Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump has shrunk to just 4 percentage points, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll released Friday.

The results:

  • Clinton: 48 percent;
  • Trump: 44 percent.

"The results show sharp differences from the first four nights of tracking — immediately after a very difficult two weeks for Trump — compared with the past three nights, as those controversies have receded to some extent," ABC News reports.

"Given that these are the two least popular presidential candidates in ABC/Post polling history, ambivalence about turning out looks to be a factor."

Many voters are concerned about election fraud, but most of them are Trump supporters.

Among Clinton supporters:

  • Confident in vote count: 94 percent;
  • Not confident: 5 percent;
  • Fraud uncommon: 87 percent.

By contrast, Trump supporters:

  • Confident in vote count: 52 percent;
  • Not confident: 47 percent;
  • Fraud uncommon: 29 percent.

"While Trump voters' concerns about fraud and vote counting have not changed significantly since last month," The Washington Post reports. "Clinton supporters expressed growing confidence in the election process. The share of Democrats who are 'very confident' the vote will be accurately counted has grown from 45 percent last month to 70 percent in the new Post-ABC poll.

"And while more than 1 in 5 Democrats last month thought voter fraud occurs at least somewhat often, that has fallen to slightly more than 1 in 10 in this week's poll."

FiveThirtyEight still predicts a much better chance for Clinton than Trump. The former secretary of state's chance of winning is greater than 80 percent, while the billionaire Republican's chance is less than 20 percent.

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Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump has shrunk to just 4 percentage points, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll released Friday.
ABC Poll, Trump, Surges, Hillary, Lead, Cut
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2016-33-28
Friday, 28 October 2016 09:33 AM
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