Tags: federal reserve | interest rate | cut | recession
OPINION

Fed Needs Supersized 50-Point Cut in Sept or Risk Recession

Fed Needs Supersized 50-Point Cut in Sept or Risk Recession
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (AP)

Nigel Green By Friday, 16 August 2024 07:44 AM EDT Current | Bio | Archive

The Federal Reserve must go big with a supersized 50 basis point interest rate cut in September to get ahead of a looming economic storm.

​The latest figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics published Wednesday showed a modest 0.2% rise in the consumer price index for July, including a ‘core’ measure that strips out volatile food and energy prices.

​But with the economy standing at a precipice with consumer confidence showing signs of weakness, spending slowing, and concerns over corporate earnings, many are arguing that a cautious approach just won’t cut it.

​Here’s the hard truth: the Fed was behind the curve when this cycle began, and it cannot afford to make the same mistake twice.

​With rates currently sitting at a more than two-decade high, there’s no room for hesitation. A 25 basis point cut might signal a shift, but it’s not the aggressive action needed to stave off a potentially devastating hard landing.

​The case for a bold 50 basis point cut in September is clear. This move would send a powerful signal that the Fed is serious about steering the US economy away from the brink of a recession.

​Follow that with two more 25 basis point cuts in November and December, and the Fed would not only be addressing immediate concerns, but also setting the stage for sustainable economic growth.

​Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last month that recent inflation figures “add somewhat to confidence” that the pace of price increases is returning to the central bank’s target sustainably, after noting the economy is “no longer overheated” during his congressional testimony.

​While critics argue that the Fed’s measured pace is necessary to avoid overcorrecting, the risks of inaction - or insufficient action - are far greater.

​If the central bank doesn’t move decisively, we could be looking at a prolonged period of stagnation, or worse, a full-blown recession. The stakes couldn’t be higher.

​The Fed needs to stop playing catch-up and start leading the charge.

​Anything less than a 50 basis point cut in September would be a missed opportunity - one that the economy, and Americans, can’t afford.

​It’s time for the Fed to act boldly, to cut rates aggressively, and to send a clear message that it’s ready to do whatever it takes to keep the US economy on track.

_______________
London-born Nigel Green is founder and CEO of deVere Group. Following in his father’s footstep, he entered the financial services industry as a young adult. After working in the sector for 15 years in London, he subsequently spent several years operating within the international space, before launching deVere in 2002 with a single office in Hong Kong. Today, deVere is one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organizations, doing business in 100 countries and with more than $12bn under advisement. It specializes global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients. In early 2017, it was announced that deVere would launch its own private bank. In addition, deVere also confirmed it has received its own investment banking license.

© 2024 Newsmax Finance. All rights reserved.


NigelGreen
The Federal Reserve must go big with a supersized 50 basis point interest rate cut in September to get ahead of a looming economic storm.​
federal reserve, interest rate, cut, recession
511
2024-44-16
Friday, 16 August 2024 07:44 AM
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