Joel Naroff



Aug 9, 2019
There are two immovable objects, Trump and the Chinese. Neither is willing to lose face by giving in. Unfortunately, unless the U.S. and/or China back down, the cycle of trade and currency battles will continue and likely worsen. And the end to that is almost certainly a recession.


Aug 2, 2019
Job growth is right where it was expected to be and with confidence remaining high, the only concern remains trade wars, which look to be heating up again.


Aug 1, 2019
Fed Chief Jerome Powell is now at the mercy of a mercurial president, foreign economies over which he has no control and economic/inflation perceptions rather than economic fundamentals.


Jul 31, 2019
Despite decent job gains, worker compensation gains continue to fade, which is a real conundrum.


Jul 16, 2019
With consumers consuming and manufacturers manufacturing, the only thing the Fed has to worry about is inflation.


Jul 5, 2019
When you smooth out the wild swings in job gains, it is clear the economy and the labor markets remain solid.


Jul 1, 2019
The economic numbers continue to paint a picture of an economy continuing to moderate. Manufacturing has been battered by the trade war fears and the weekend’s news wasn’t particularly helpful.


Jun 28, 2019
Decent income gains are supporting continued consumer spending, but weakness in wage increases remains a threat to growth.

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