Tags: Brazil | election | Silva | Rousseff

Silva to Push Brazil to Runoff in Election Too Close to Call

Image: Silva to Push Brazil to Runoff in Election Too Close to Call
Late Brazilian presidential candidate Eduardo Campos' running mate, Marina Silva, mourns next to his coffin at the Palacio do Campo das Princesas, the governmental palace of the state of Pernambuco, in Recife, Brazil on Aug. 16. (Nelson Almeida/AFP/Getty Images)

Monday, 18 Aug 2014 09:47 AM

Marina Silva would push Brazil’s election to a runoff in a vote that would be too close to call, according to the first poll since presidential candidate Eduardo Campos died in a plane crash last week.

Silva, who is set to replace Campos as the candidate of the Brazilian Socialist Party this week, would command 47 percent of the vote in the second round, compared with 43 percent for Dilma Rousseff, a difference that falls just within the plus or minus 2 percentage point margin of error in a Datafolha poll published today. In the first round, Silva is statistically tied with Senator Aecio Neves with 21 percent and 20 percent of the support respectively.

Silva, 56, became the wild card in Brazilian politics after Campos died. She placed third in the 2010 national election against Rousseff with 19 percent of the vote as the Green Party’s candidate. She was Campos’s running mate.

“This is political capital that Marina already had and wasn’t able to transfer to Eduardo Campos,” Mauro Paulino, director of Datafolha, said in a phone interview. “She is a well known candidate with a low level of rejection. And that signals she has room to grow.”

Rousseff leads the first round with 36 percent support, less than the 46 percent garnered by all her challengers, the survey of 2,843 people conducted Aug 14-15 shows. To win in the first round a candidate needs more votes than all other competitors combined. In a runoff against Neves from the Brazilian Social Democracy Party, Rousseff would win 47 percent to 39 percent.

Senator Rodrigo Rollemberg said Silva will replace Campos as the Brazilian Socialist Party candidate, and the party’s executive board will meet in Brasilia Aug. 20 to make the decision official.

“It’s decided. It will be Marina,” Rollemberg, an executive member of the Brazilian Socialist Party, or PSB, said in an interview. Lawmaker Beto Albuquerque is favored to be her running mate, he said.

Campos, four members of his campaign team and two pilots died Aug. 13 when a Cessna 560XL crashed in the southeastern city of Santos. Silva, who was running as his vice president, stood beside Campos’s family as his remains were buried yesterday in Recife, the capital of Pernambuco, where he was governor until April. Rousseff and Neves were among thousands of mourners who attended the wake and funeral mass.

Campos had 8 percent support in a Datafolha poll conducted July 15-16. Rousseff had 36 percent and Neves garnered 20 percent.

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Marina Silva would push Brazil’s election to a runoff in a vote that would be too close to call, according to the first poll since presidential candidate Eduardo Campos died in a plane crash last week. Silva would command 47 percent of the vote compared with 43 percent for Dilma Rousseff.
Brazil, election, Silva, Rousseff
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2014-47-18
Monday, 18 Aug 2014 09:47 AM
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