Tags: brazil | real | advances | impeachment | dilma

Brazil Real Advances as House Plans Preliminary Impeachment Vote

Image: Brazil Real Advances as House Plans Preliminary Impeachment Vote

Monday, 11 Apr 2016 04:33 PM

Brazil’s real advanced the most among major currencies to the strongest level in almost seven months as Congress prepared for key votes on the ouster of President Dilma Rousseff this week.

Brazil’s currency, the most volatile in emerging markets as traders try to gauge the outlook for a complicated impeachment effort, gained 2.5 percent to 3.5024 per dollar at 12:57 p.m. in Sao Paulo, the biggest gain among 16 major currencies tracked by Bloomberg. That was the strongest since Aug. 21 on a closing basis.

The real was the world’s best-performing currency in the first quarter on wagers that a new government would help pull Brazil out of its worst recession in a century and curb a record fiscal deficit. The real tumbled last year as Brazil lost its coveted investment-grade status and a sweeping corruption scandal hit businesses and the government.

"Markets are closely monitoring the impeachment story as this week could be a turning point in redefining Brazil’s political landscape," said Arnaud Masset, an analyst at Swissquote Bank SA in Gland, Switzerland. "The high uncertainty surrounding the vote will keep assets volatile."

Newspaper O Estado de S.Paulo reported a growing number of lawmakers favor removing the president. A special committee in the lower house was scheduled to vote Monday on whether to move forward with the impeachment request. The full house could vote as early as April 17, potentially setting the stage for Rousseff’s ouster in the Senate.

The cost of insuring Brazilian bonds in the credit-default swaps market for five years declined 10.6 basis points on Monday, the biggest decline for a single day on a closing basis this month.

Amid the economic slump, Brazil economists lowered their 2017 forecast for the benchmark interest rate to 12.25 percent from 12.5 percent previously, according to the weekly central bank survey conducted April 8. The current level is 14.25 percent.

They also lowered their 2017 inflation forecast for the first time in nine weeks to 5.95 percent, from 6 percent previously, and their 2016 inflation outlook to 7.14 percent from 7.28 percent.

Swap rates on the contract maturing in January 2017, a gauge of expectations for interest rates, fell 0.06 percentage point to 13.74 percent.


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Brazil's real advanced the most among major currencies to the strongest level in almost seven months as Congress prepared for key votes on the ouster of President Dilma Rousseff this week.Brazil's currency, the most volatile in emerging markets as traders try to gauge the...
brazil, real, advances, impeachment, dilma
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2016-33-11
Monday, 11 Apr 2016 04:33 PM
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