Tags: | Election Night 2012 | polls | correct | election | proves

Good Night for Pollsters as Election Proves Them Mostly Right

Wednesday, 07 Nov 2012 10:07 AM

Supporters of the GOP ticket spent a lot of time toward the end of the campaign arguing that the polls showing President Barack Obama would win a second term were wrong.

They argued that the polls were skewed Democrat and they made wrong assumptions about turnout.

In the end, the polls and those, including Nate Silver of the New York Times' FiveThirtyEight blog,who based their projections on them were correct.

According to The Washington Post, exit polls show that the Democratic turnout was 6 points last night, compared to a 7-point advantage in 2008. The electorate was also less white, more Latino, more female, more low income and more young.

Women and the low-income voters supported Obama at about the same rates as in 2008 while Latinos upped their support from 67 percent to 71 percent, the Post reported. Obama even improved his support among Democrats going from 89 percent to 92 percent.

Silver, who became somewhat of a bête noire for the GOP with his prediction showing Obama had a 90.9 chance of winning re-election with 313 electoral votes, was also vindicated. By the end of the night Obama had 303 Electoral College votes and should Florida tip into his column he will have 332.

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Supporters of the GOP ticket spent a lot of time toward the end of the campaign arguing that the polls showing President Barack Obama would win a second term were wrong.
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2012-07-07
Wednesday, 07 Nov 2012 10:07 AM
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