Tags: marco rubio | game plan | primaries | nomination

Rubio Game Plan: Lose First 4 Primaries, Still Win Nomination

Image: Rubio Game Plan: Lose First 4 Primaries, Still Win Nomination

Marco Rubio greets supporters at a campaign rally in Raleigh, North Carolina, on Saturday. The state's primary is March 15. (REUTERS/Jonathan Drake)

By    |   Monday, 11 Jan 2016 09:42 AM

Marco Rubio, currently third in an average of national polls, doesn't need to win any of the four early primary states to clinch the Republican nomination, according to a game plan laid out to a Florida newspaper by his campaign.

According to The Palm Beach Post, "Rubio’s campaign says he’s competing to win in all four of the states that hold caucuses or primaries next month – Iowa (Feb. 1), New Hampshire (Feb. 9), South Carolina (Feb. 20) and Nevada (Feb. 23) – but doesn’t need a first-place finish in any of them to win the nomination."

Unlike some of the later primary states – such as Florida – the early states award delegates on a proportional basis, meaning that candidates who come in second or third place still walk away with something to show for their efforts.

Rubio reportedly hopes to pick up some delegates in the early states, but save his biggest campaign push for states like Florida. Unlike the early primary states, the senator's home state will hold its primary on March 15, and awards delegates on a winner-take-all basis.

"I think Marco has a real good chance of getting third in Iowa, a real good chance of getting second in New Hampshire. He’s done the due diligence of raising money to be in this race for the long haul," said Rep. Tom Rooney, R-Okeechobee, the first member of Congress to endorse Rubio.

Similarly, Rubio spokesman Alex Conant said, "We compete to win everywhere. But in a field this big I think we’re going to be competing in March regardless of what happens in February."

The Week reported that no GOP nominee has ever won the nomination without winning first place in either Iowa or New Hampshire, but noted that it is mathematically possible to lose the first four primaries an still ultimately win the nomination.

Running through the likely scenario in which Ted Cruz wins Iowa and Donald Trump wins New Hampshire, RedState.com explained that Cruz will then have a shot at winning South Carolina, "and that’s where he really breaks Trump’s back."

In that scenario, Rubio could win third in Iowa, second in New Hampshire, and a close third in South Carolina.

"Rubio then pulls out a strong win in Nevada – it increasingly looks as if this will be the state he really needs in the early going to stay credible," wrote RedState.

From there, "Rubio wins easily in Massachusetts and Vermont and pulls out Alaska and Minnesota, runs very close in Tennessee and Virginia," followed by wins in Maine, Puerto Rico, Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Utah, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Oregon, Washington, California, New Jersey, and New Mexico.

In the end, however, "If Rubio finishes third in New Hampshire, third or fourth in Iowa and South Carolina and second or third in Nevada, he may find himself too far back to stage the post-March 1 comeback his likely strategy envisions."

© 2017 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

 
1Like our page
2Share
TheWire
Marco Rubio, currently third in an average of national polls, does not need to win the four early primary states to clinch the Republican nomination, his campaign said Friday.
marco rubio, game plan, primaries, nomination
486
2016-42-11
Monday, 11 Jan 2016 09:42 AM
Newsmax Inc.
 

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved