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Quinnipiac: Clinton, Sanders Crush Trump in New York

Image: Quinnipiac: Clinton, Sanders Crush Trump in New York
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By    |   Thursday, 31 Mar 2016 07:46 AM

The latest Quinnipiac University Poll suggests that Republican front-runner Donald Trump has any hope of winning his blue home state of New York in November, despite predictions that he could buck political trends there.

The poll shows Trump losing New York by at least 20 points in theoretical head-to-head matchups against Democrats Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders:


  • Clinton, 53 percent-Trump, 33 percent
  • Sanders, 56 percent-Trump 32 percent
The poll shows Ted Cruz faring even worse than Trump against either Democrat. John Kasich is the only GOP candidate who comes close to either of the Democrats in New York, the poll shows, placing him must 5 points behind Clinton.

  • Clinton, 53 percent-Cruz, 32 percent
  • Clinton, 46 percent-Kasich 41 percent
  • Sanders, 56 percent-Cruz, 28 percent
  • Sanders, 47 percent-Kasich, 37 percent

In the primary races, the Quinnipiac Poll shows Trump and Clinton each leading in New York by double digits.

On the Republican side:
  • Trump, 56 percent;
  • Cruz, 20 percent;
  • Kasich, 19;
For the Democrats:
  • Clinton, 54 percent
  • Sanders, 42 percent;
A win in New York could mean a large delegate haul for the real estate mogul and Politico notes that if both Trump and Hillary lose in Wisconsin on Tuesday, a win in their home-state of New York will help them regain their footing in April.

In terms of favorability ratings, Trump leads the GOP pack as the most popular candidate:
  • Trump: 68 percent favorable, 27 percent unfavorable
  • Cruz: 49 percent favorable, 40 percent unfavorable
  • Kasich: 43 percent favorable, 18 percent unfavorable, 38 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion
In terms of favorability ratings on the Democratic side, both candidates are popular:
  • Clinton: 78 percent favorable, 18 percent unfavorable
  • Sanders: 74 percent favorable, 9 percent unfavorable
The poll notes that Sanders remains the more popular candidate among Democratic voters under the age of 45 (63 percent to 36 percent).

However, Clinton wins easily among voters between the ages of 45 and 64 (60 percent to 35 percent), voters 65 and older (73 percent to 22 percent), and among women (59 percent to 37 percent).

The poll was conducted March 22-29, surveying 1,667 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.

For the subsample of 693 likely Democratic primary voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

For the subsample of 457 likely Republican primary voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 points.

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The latest Quinnipiac University Poll suggests that Republican front-runner Donald Trump has any hope of winning his blue home state of New York in November, despite predictions that he could buck political trends there.
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Thursday, 31 Mar 2016 07:46 AM
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