Tags: | poll | republicans | house | senate

Gallup Poll: Majority Sees GOP Running House, Senate

By    |   Friday, 10 Oct 2014 05:46 PM

A majority of Americans think Republicans will pull off a slam-dunk in November's midterm elections, claiming majorities in both chambers of Congress, a new Gallup poll shows.

The Gallup survey showed 52 percent of voters say they expect the GOP to win control of the Senate compared with 42 percent who say Democrats will retain the majority. An even larger majority, 63 percent, say Republicans will retain their majority in the House.

Though partisans on both sides "show signs of wishful thinking" in assessing which party will win control 76 percent of Republicans saying they will capture the Senate, while 65 percent of Democrats say they'll win the polling firm reports "the more objective predictions may be those made by political independents, which mirror the national averages."

More than half of independents predict Republicans will win the Senate, and 61 percent say Republicans will win the House, the pollster found.

"Gallup has also found that Americans as a whole have a good track record of predicting which presidential candidate will win the popular vote, forecasting the correct winner in each of the four elections since 1996," the pollster related.

The survey's margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The Hill notes a handful of states are being closely watched in the tug of war for congressional dominance: Arkansas, Alaska, Colorado, Louisiana, North Carolina, Kansas, Georgia, and Iowa.

Meanwhile, a journal for political scientists, "PS: Political Science and Politics," predicts Republicans could gain a median of five or six Senate seats and about 14 in the House, Talking Points Memo reports.

"What these scholars are arguing is that the fundamentals of this election basically favor the Republican Party tremendously," Appalachian State University political science professor Philip J. Ardoin, co-editor of PS: Political Science and Politics, told Talking Points Memo.

"We saw that big Republican success in 2010 — those Democrats who got into office in 2008 on the support of [President Barack] Obama's coattails, well all those senators right on Obama's coattails will now be facing election without him this November."

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A majority of Americans think Republicans will pull off a slam-dunk in November's midterm elections, claiming majorities in both chambers of Congress, a new Gallup poll shows.
poll, republicans, house, senate
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2014-46-10
Friday, 10 Oct 2014 05:46 PM
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