Tags: | Massachusetts | midterms | Moulton | Tisei

October Surprise in Massachusetts: House Race Is A Dead Heat

By    |   Tuesday, 14 Oct 2014 03:51 PM

Given Democrat Seth Moulton's rout of long-time incumbent Rep. John F. Tierney in the Massachusetts primaries, you'd think he'd have an easy time of it whipping Republican challenger Richard Tisei in the traditionally blue state.

You would be wrong.

The National Journal is reporting that Tisei is giving Moulton all he can handle and then some, running neck-and-neck against the Democratic newcomer according to several polls, calling the race a "dead heat."

In a recent survey by American Unity PAC, which supports Republican candidates backing gay marriage, Tisei, an openly gay former state senator, holds a two-point lead over Moulton, which is within the poll's margin of error, indicating the run for the House seat could go either way.

The PAC is planning to spend at least $500,000 backing Tisei, Jeff Cook-McCormac, senior adviser, told the Journal, adding, "Richard Tisei is leading and poised to win this race. We look forward to others joining the fight."

Polls in the tight race have been all over the place, the Journal reports, with a Garin-Hart-Yang poll in late September showing Moulton with a 10-point lead, a Tarrance Group poll showing a virtual tie, and two automated Democratic polls showing Moulton ahead with leads of eight and 18 percent.

An Emerson College poll conducted Sept. 26-29 shows Tisei narrowly leading by two points and hints of trouble ahead for Moulton.

"An "enthusiasm gap" is growing between the candidates," the poll noted. "Fifty percent of Tisei supporters said they were very enthusiastic about the race, as compared to 34 percent of Moulton supporters."

For Moulton, the poll noted, "The road to Capitol Hill will not be an easy one."

However, in a WBUR poll, Moulton was ahead of Tisei by eight points, 47 to 39 percent, and the poll notes that he may be able to rely on party loyalty to pull him through to a win.

The poll "suggests Democrats are much more committed to their own candidate than Republicans."

Moulton was aided in his victory over Tierney by a scandal involving Tierney's wife Patrice, who was sentenced to 30 days in jail and five months of house arrest for filing false tax returns for her brother, Robert Eremian, who was mixed up in an illegal gambling scheme operated from Antigua.

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Given Democrat Seth Moulton's rout of long-time incumbent Rep. John F. Tierney in the Massachusetts primaries, you'd think he'd have an easy time of it whipping Republican challenger Richard Tisei in the traditionally blue state.
Massachusetts, midterms, Moulton, Tisei
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2014-51-14
Tuesday, 14 Oct 2014 03:51 PM
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