Tags: GOP2016 | Jeb Bush | Ted Cruz | Scott Walker | Ben Carson | Donald Trump

Monmouth Poll: GOP 2016 Field Wide Open

By    |   Tuesday, 07 Apr 2015 11:21 AM

The GOP race for the 2016 presidential nomination is wide open, a new poll has found, with the front-runner attracting low double digit support and just two percentage points ahead of possible rivals in second place.

The Monmouth University poll conducted March 30-April 2 of 355 Republicans found that:
  • Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has 13 percent support;
  • Sen. Ted Cruz and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker are tied for second place with 11 percent;
  • Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has 9 percent support;
  • Retired pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson attracts 7 percent support;
  • Donald Trump has 7 percent support;
  • Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul is at 6 percent;
  • New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie attracts 5 percent;
  • Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and former Texas Gov. Rick Perry are both at 5 percent.
Among those who consider themselves to be "very conservative," Cruz takes the lead with 20 percent, followed by Walker with 16 percent, Bush and Carson at 11 percent, and Huckabee with 10 percent.

A list of other potential candidates found that none had more than 1 percent support among GOP voters.

The survey also tested a series of two-candidate match-ups. In a contest of establishment figures, the survey found:
  • Walker would beat Bush with 46 percent compared to 42 percent;
  • Walker would win against Christie by 58 percent compared to 26 percent;
  • Bush would beat Christie by 54 percent to 28 percent.
The poll also matched up establishment contenders with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, the only declared candidate at the time of the poll:
  • Bush would win by 49 percent compared to 40 percent for Cruz;
  • Cruz would prevail over Walker by 41 percent compared to 36 percent;
  • Cruz would have a dramatic lead over Christie of 55 percent compared to 30 percent.
"The Republican field for 2016 remains more open than it has been in past contests.  Some candidates, such as Walker, seem to be better placed to form a winning coalition, while others, such as Christie, find their path to victory getting more narrow every day," Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute said in a statement.

The poll also analyzed favorability ratings of each of the candidates. Walker comes out on top with a net favorability rating of 35 percent compared to 32 percent for Huckabee, 30 percent for Cruz, 25 percent for Paul and 23 percent for Rubio.

"Scott Walker may be that rare candidate who has true cross-over appeal in all wings of the GOP. The more Republican voters get to know him, the more they like him; and that goes for conservatives, moderates, and Tea Party supporters alike," Murray said.

By comparison, a number of candidates have net negative favorability ratings including Christie with negative 9 percent and Trump with negative 28 percent.

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Politics
The GOP race for the 2016 presidential nomination is wide open, a new poll has found, with the front-runner attracting low double digit support and just two percentage points ahead of possible rivals in second place.
Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Scott Walker, Ben Carson, Donald Trump
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2015-21-07
Tuesday, 07 Apr 2015 11:21 AM
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