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FiveThirtyEight: Dems Need to Stay on the Attack in Red Districts

Image: FiveThirtyEight: Dems Need to Stay on the Attack in Red Districts
Jon Ossoff (AP)

By    |   Wednesday, 21 Jun 2017 11:04 AM

Despite a zero-for-four showing Tuesday in special elections in Republican territory, margins dictate Democrats should stay on the attack in dead-red districts to take back the House majority in 2018, according to Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.

Democrats need a net gain of 24 seats to take back the majority in the House, and Silver posts that 60-80 Republican-held seats could be competitive in the midterms.

Despite the special-election losses in Kansas, Montana, Georgia and South Carolina, Democrats outperformed their benchmarks by an average of 14 points in those districts, according to Silver.

Democrats would be wise to stay aggressive in Republican territory and not repeat the mistake of Hillary Clinton of a narrow focus, Silver writes.

"Well-educated Sun Belt districts such as Georgia 6 could be the Democrats' path back to a majority. But so could places such as South Carolina 5 that had once been more Democratic, or districts in Ohio or Pennsylvania or upstate New York," Silver writes.

But the key for Democrats? Don't get discouraged by the latest losses Tuesday night.

That "poses the biggest risk to Democrats if it discourages them from recruiting quality candidates and providing them with enough money to run credible campaigns in districts as diverse as Georgia 6, South Carolina 5 and Montana," Silver writes.

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Despite taking an o-fer in the four special elections held in Republican territory, margins dictate that Democrats should stay on the attack in dead-red districts to take back the House majority in 2018, according to Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.
democrats, attack, red districts
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2017-04-21
Wednesday, 21 Jun 2017 11:04 AM
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