Tags: | America's Forum | Republicans | 2014 midterms

Matt Towery: GOP Learning Micro-Turnout Lesson for Midterms

By    |   Friday, 10 Oct 2014 01:28 PM

Republican success in November will depend largely on whether or not the GOP has learned how to increase its voter base through micro turnout, according to conservative pollster Matt Towery.

"The real question is whether the Republicans, both on the state levels . . . and nationally, have learned to get their turnout up through micro turnout," Towery told J.D. Hayworth on "America's Forum" on Newsmax TV Friday.

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He said that micro turnout works by identifying "individuals who will turn out to vote, which is what the Obama team did in the last presidential election and shocked a lot of folks by turning out such a large number."

"There is evidence in many of these GOP state committees, as well as nationally [that] they have learned this lesson and they are trying to micro turnout through social media, knowing specifics about individual voters," he explained, adding that knowing such information is important for increasing the voter turnout numbers.

Towery says that he writes off polls "that say people aren't interested . . . because I've seen them occur before and yet at the last minute there's a surge that takes place."

Which he contends may be the case with "all the international issues" developing.

In Kansas, where Republican Sen. Pat Roberts is being challenged by an independent candidate, the Republican pollster says that it looks like Roberts' campaign is "beginning to get its act together" and even though the "independent effort is a challenge for him," he can't be written off yet.

Towery predicts that the Senate race in Georgia between Democratic candidate Michelle Nunn and Republican David Perdue "might be headed to a runoff" because it is so close. In Georgia, a Senate candidate must get "50 percent of the vote plus one" to avoid a runoff.

In North Carolina where Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan is trying to hang on, Towery says that while "the national media and the national polls have tried to put Hagan in front . . . she might lose and we might see a Republican take her down, but it's one of those things we're going to have to wait until election night to see if that actually develops."

The Senate race in South Dakota seemed to be an easy win for Republicans, but the independent in that race is now trailing former Republican Gov. Mike Rounds by only three points in a recent poll from Survey USA/KOTA/KSFY/Aberdeen American News, Fox News reported.

Towery told Newsmax that it's becoming increasingly difficult "to really get an idea to who would win the (South Dakota) race."

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Republican success in November will depend largely on whether or not the GOP has learned how to increase its voter base through micro turnout, according to conservative pollster Matt Towery.
Republicans, 2014 midterms
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2014-28-10
Friday, 10 Oct 2014 01:28 PM
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