Tags: china | steel | production

China's Steel Production Cause for Alarm

Wednesday, 28 Oct 2009 08:03 AM

By Lev Navrozov

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Why does China produce almost as much steel as half of all other countries (including the United States) put together?

Most American “top experts on China” seem to fail to notice China’s output of steel, though the owners of China do not conceal it, for while they try to seem peaceful to the United States and to their own population, they cannot seem weak to them either.

As for the annual reports to U.S. Congress on the military power of the People’s Republic of China, these are top official U.S. documents, and the owners of China attack such reports — they say the reports slander China and thus endanger the U.S.-China peace.

This could be one reason why these reports to Congress became less critical of China and more useless to the free countries.

Therefore, when I saw a 22-page study entitled “China’s Military Potential,” produced by a top American expert on China and first published on Oct. 2, 1998, I hoped that this American expert on China would answer the steel production question.

The author of the article, Col. Larry M. Wortzel, became the director of the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army in June 1998. His bio says “He served as Assistant Army Attaché in China from 1988 to 1990 and Army Attaché in China from 1995 to 1997.”

On page 8 of the study he explains: “The main goal of China, according to the report by Jiang Zemin at the 15th Communist Party Congress [of China], is to build a ‘socialist economy’.” No critical comment from Col. Wortzel follows.

Many American “experts” on China fail to understand that any information from China may be pure propaganda inventions.

As an American, Wortzel, this top expert on China, evidently believes that except for some special subjects (like homosexual relations), a human being says what he/she thinks, and thinks what he/she says.

Can you imagine that the “main goal of China” has been not “socialism,” but a military power capable of defeating any foreign country, beginning with the United States as the most powerful of all free countries?

The new paragraph on page 16 begins with Wortzel’s own statement: “Beijing’s goals are regional domination and hegemony, not world conquest.” When China becomes powerful enough to begin openly its advance to world domination and global hegemony, surely Wortzel will declare that Beijing’s goal is world conquest, not regional domination or hegemony. But will not this conclusion of his be too late?

To sum up Wortzel’s 22 pages, the United States (democracy) and China (which I call a slave state) are essentially good neighbors, but each of them should avoid doing what is unpleasant to the other side.

Now, rather than go on reading this American top expert’s Chinese propaganda, let us ask ourselves, What is China’s military potential?

It is expressed in its output of steel first and foremost, for steel is used more than any other material for the production of weapons, tools, and instruments for armed forces.

China’s 2.3-million-strong army was, as of 1998, when Wortzel’s article was published, the world’s biggest, followed by the United States, with its 1.38-million-strong army; India, with its 1.3-million-strong army; and Russia, with its 1.24-million-strong army.

This is what a Westerner can learn in 2009 from reports by Western correspondents from Beijing. But what about the output of steel?

Here the information becomes scarce because in the United States it does not fit that sweet fairy tale, according to which China is just a backward country trying (in vain!) to overtake the United States.

Yet here is what a Westerner may learn now from Agence France-Presse: “China accounted [when the steel outputs of all countries in August were put together] for almost half of the total [world output], producing [as China did] 52.3 million tons of steel in August [that is, per month].”

As of the week ending March 21, 2009, the U.S. steel output was slightly above 2 million tons a week; that is, 8 million tons a month. Compare with China’s 52.3 million tons a month.

The recent parade in honor of the 60-year anniversary of the PRC showed that China can already produce weapons the West does (plus weapons China has developed on its own and did not show publicly, of course).

Since the population of China exceeds 1.33 billion people, the owners of China can add 230 million young males fit for military service to the 2.3 million men in their People’s Liberation Army right now.

Then this army will be not 2.3 million strong, but 232.3 million strong. As for its weapons, the steel output at the level of 52.3 million tons of steel a month, as of August 2009, may be sufficient to produce the weapons for this gigantic army.

What has been the reaction of the West to China’s output of steel equal to almost half of the output of steel produced by all the other countries, including the United States, put together?

This has been ignored by most American top “experts on China,” including Wortzel in 1998, when he became the director of the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army, and in 2009, as this article was reprinted and he was the director of the Strategic Studies Institute.

In conclusion, it should be noted that Wortzel’s article was carried on Sept. 29, 2009 by Yahoo! with Google’s ads. On the last page of the article, it is noted that now Wortzel is the director of the Strategic Studies Institute.

Yet, despite that scholarly appointment from 1998 to 2009, no one seems to have noticed that the 22-page article does not answer the question, Why does China produce almost as much steel as half of all other countries (including the United States) put together?

You can e-mail me at navlev@cloud9.net.

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