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Poll: Conservative Leads N.Y. Race



A poll released by the Club for Growth shows Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman surging into the lead in the special election in New York's 23rd Congressional District to replace John McHugh, the former congressman who recently became secretary of the Army.

The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted Oct. 24-25, shows Hoffman at 31.3 percent, Democrat Bill Owens at 27 percent, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7 percent and 22 percent undecided.

The poll's margin of error is plus/minus 5.66 percent. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question.

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This is the third poll done for the Club for Growth in the special election, and Hoffman is the only candidate to show an increase in his support levels in each successive poll. The momentum in the race is clearly with Hoffman.

"Hoffman now has a wide lead among both Republicans and independents, while Owens has a wide lead among Democrats. Dede Scozzafava's support continues to collapse, making this essentially a two-candidate race between Hoffman and Owens in the final week," concluded Basswood Research's pollster Jon Lerner, who conducted the poll for the Club.

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