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Canada's Top Two Banks Beat the Street, Shares Jump

Thursday, 03 Mar 2011 02:39 PM

Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto-Dominion Bank both handily beat profit expectations Thursday — sending their shares sharply higher — as a strong economy supported loan growth and investment banking profit.

The first-quarter results from Canada's two biggest banks followed impressive results from other Canadian lenders over the past two weeks, and confounded predictions that consumer lending was drying up.

"We're seeing underlying earnings growth which is a lot stronger than what I believe the market had been anticipating," said John Aiken, an analyst at Barclays Capital in Toronto.

TD also raised its quarterly dividend by 8.2 percent, becoming the first of the country's big five banks to do so since the financial crisis.

Dividend increases were put on hold during the financial crisis, but the banks were given the all-clear by regulators to resume such moves last autumn.

Canada's banks weathered the financial crisis in relatively good shape due to their conservative lending practices. Unlike many U.S. and European banks, no Canadian lenders required a government bailout.

Their results reflect a surge in domestic economic growth in the fourth quarter of last year that, along with still-low interest rates, has spurred Canadians to keep borrowing.

"We're still seeing good (loan) growth, not at the double-digit level that we saw in 2010, but certainly still quite strong," Colleen Johnston, TD's chief financial officer, told Reuters.

She said, however, that the bank had begun to see a slowdown in mortgage lending during the quarter to Dec. 31, the first quarter of the banks' fiscal year.

Just after midday, RBC shares were up 5.2 percent at C$59.90, while TD rose 3.4 percent to C$83.22, hitting an all-time high.


The banks' core Canadian personal and commercial banking operations underpinned profit growth, while their U.S. divisions also showed unexpectedly strong results, particularly at RBC.

"I think for Royal perhaps the most encouraging thing was the turnaround in the U.S. operations," said Gavin Graham, president of Graham Investment Strategy.

RBC Bank (USA), Royal's U.S. consumer bank, has been a drag on earnings since it entered the space about a decade ago.

Bank officials predicted last year its international division -- which had reported losses for ten straight quarters courtesy of the U.S. bank -- would return to quarterly profit at some point this year, but RBC Chief Executive Gordon Nixon said it happened faster than expected.

"We think that trend over the year is going to continue," he told reporters after the bank's annual shareholder meeting in Toronto.

Provisions for bad loans, which have steadily declined since the financial crisis, shrank further during the quarter, padding the bottom line of both lenders.

Adjusted profit at RBC, Canada's biggest bank, was C$1.26 a share, easily topping the profit of C$1.01 a share expected by analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

On a net basis, RBC earned a record C$1.84 billion ($1.90 billion), or C$1.24 a share, up from C$1.50 billion, or C$1.00 a share, a year earlier.


TD, Canada's No. 2 bank, earned C$1.54 billion, or C$1.69 a share, up from C$1.30 billion, or C$1.44 a share.

Excluding items, TD earned C$1.74 a share, well ahead of analysts' expectations of a profit of C$1.55 a share.

TD raised its quarterly dividend payout to 66 Canadian cents a share from 61 Canadian cents.

"For one of the big five (banks) to do it is obviously a very important marker, because in essence now the clock is ticking on the other ones to raise it," said Graham.

Bank of Nova Scotia, which reports results next week, is seen as a longshot to raise its payout this quarter, while RBC and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce are expected to follow suit this year.

© 2015 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.

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