Social Security Stronger Than Thought
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Monday, June 14, 2004
WASHINGTON Social Security's long-term prospects are
better than previously thought, a congressional report said Monday. It estimated the program would not become insolvent until 2052, a decade
later than projected earlier this year.
The report by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office still
paints a bleak financial picture for the future of the retirement
system, which faces significant strain as the aging baby boom
generation retires.
But the report's projection will jump-start debate this election
year about President Bush's proposal to revamp the system by adding
personal investment accounts.
The bipartisan trustees who oversee Social Security predicted in
March that the system's shortfall would be 1.89 percent of taxable
payroll, or about $3.7 trillion.
But using rosier economic assumptions over the next 75 years on
such things as inflation and productivity, congressional budget
forecasters said the shortfall would be 1 percent of taxable
payroll.
Both reports pegged 2019 as the year the system will start
paying out more in benefits than it takes in payroll taxes.
Analysts say that date is likely more significant because the
projections of insolvency count on funds owed the system by the
government in the so-called trust fund. Those funds, however,
already have been spent and must be repaid.
© 2004 Associated Press. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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