Rasmussen: 55% Say Obama Will Win Election

Tuesday, 09 Oct 2012 05:44 PM

By Todd Beamon

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Despite a lackluster debate performance, President Barack Obama is still expected to win the White House on Nov. 6.

Fifty-five percent of 1,000 likely voters surveyed by Rasmussen Reports Oct. 5-6 said they believe that Obama is likely to win the election – regardless of who their choice is. Thirty-five percent said they believe Republican Mitt Romney will win.

The Obama number is slightly higher than the 50 percent who predicted a win in September and the 53 percent in August.

Democrats remain more far more confident of their candidate than Republicans, the survey found.

Eighty-seven percent of likely Democratic voters surveyed said Obama is likely to win, versus to 67 percent of GOP voters who feel Romney is more likely to be elected.

Confidence has been increasing among both groups, however, since August.

But now most voters not affiliated with either of the major parties – 54 percent – believe for the first time that Obama is the likely winner. Only 33 percent of these voters think a Romney victory is likely, with another 13 percent who are undecided.

The candidates continue to run in a dead heat in both the Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll and the daily Swing State Survey.

Among all voters, 63 percent are excited about the choice between Obama and Romney, but 31 percent still say they will be voting for the lesser of two evils. That marks a continuing shift from the 44 percent who were excited about the two choices in late May. The number to 59 percent by the middle of last month.

Meanwhile, 66 percent of GOP voters and 69 percent of Democrats are excited about the choice, marking little change from last month. But now, 49 percent of unaffiliated voters are excited about choosing between Obama and Romney, while slightly fewer – 43 percent – continue to view the race as a choice between the lesser of two evils.

That’s an improvement from last month, when most unaffiliateds, 55 percent, still considered it a race between the lesser of two evils.


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