Report: Obama's Re-election Hinges on Two Coalitions

Friday, 02 Nov 2012 05:47 PM

By Todd Beamon

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President Barack Obama’s success next Tuesday may depend on how well he can put together two different groups of support in two very diverse areas of the country — the Rustbelt and in the Sunbelt.

For instance, Obama is drawing support from minorities and upscale white women in Sunbelt states like Virginia and Florida, the National Journal reports.

The president, however, lacks support from working-class whites and college-educated white men in those areas, the National Journal reports.

But in the Rustbelt battleground states — particularly those with fewer minorities, including Wisconsin, Iowa, and Ohio — the president not only has the backing of upscale white women, but also of working-class whites, primarily women, the National Journal reports.

“In the Rustbelt, the axis on which the decision occurs is much more focused on these questions of economic populism,” Democratic pollster Geoff Garin told the National Journal.

Garin is working in these states for the pro-Obama super PAC Priorities USA.

“But in [Sunbelt] states, where the suburban vote is more dominant, the decision making is much more along the line of in step or out of step with the voters’ philosophical views” especially on social issues, he said.

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