Storm Team Predicts Below-Average Atlantic Hurricane Season

Thursday, 10 Apr 2014 03:48 PM

 

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
|  A   A  
  Copy Shortlink
The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be quieter than normal, with a below-average number of storms and hurricanes, a leading U.S. hurricane forecasting team said on Thursday.

Forecasters at Colorado State University (CSU) predicted this year's season will see nine tropical storms, three of which will intensify into a hurricane and one becoming a major hurricane with winds of at least 111 miles per hour.

A typical season has 12 tropical storms, with six hurricanes and two major hurricanes, according to CSU. The hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.

Phil Klotzbach, who heads the CSU team, said the lower forecast was based on cooler waters in the tropical Atlantic and expectations that El Nino, the climate pattern that creates wind shear, making it harder for storms to develop into hurricanes, will form this year.

"The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months, and the chances of a moderate to strong El Nino event this summer and fall appear to be quite high," he said.

"Historical data indicate fewer storms form in these conditions."

The El Nino phenomenon is marked by a warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean.

There is a 35 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. coast this year, the forecasters said.

The chance of a major hurricane hitting the U.S. East Coast including Florida is 20 percent. There is a 19 percent chance of a hurricane making landfall along the U.S. coast of the Gulf of Mexico, where major oil and gas installations are located.

Last year, the CSU team predicted above-average storm activity. In the end, the 2013 season turned out to be one of the weakest in decades, with 13 named storms and two hurricanes, neither of them major.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the U.S. government's top climate agency, is expected to release its hurricane forecast next month.

© 2014 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
  Copy Shortlink
Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
 
Email:
Country
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
 
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

Sheriffs in Southwest: The Border Is 'Spiraling Out of Control'

Wednesday, 17 Sep 2014 22:04 PM

Describing the immigration crisis as "spiraling out of control," a coalition of five sheriffs' organizations in the Sout . . .

Alan Colmes, Dennis Kucinich: Would Not Have Bombed ISIS

Wednesday, 17 Sep 2014 21:10 PM

Liberal pundit Alan Colmes and former Democratic Rep. Dennis Kucinich caught the ire of Fox News Channel host Bill O'Rei . . .

Poll: Most Americans Want Strong US Global Leadership

Wednesday, 17 Sep 2014 20:47 PM

Most Americans want the United States to be an active player on the global stage, even after more than a decade of wars  . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, NewsmaxWorld, NewsmaxHealth, are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

 
NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved