Dick Morris: Early Virginia Exit Polls Bode Well for Romney

Tuesday, 06 Nov 2012 08:46 PM

By Nick Tate and Kathleen Walter

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Exit polls showing Mitt Romney posting strong support from independent voters in Virginia suggest the inroads he has made with non-GOP voters could put him on a path to victory, said Dick Morris in an exclusive interview with Newsmax TV.
“I am struck by the fact that Romney was winning the independent vote in Virginia at 13 points. You are not going to lose the state when you are doing that,” said the former adviser to President Bill Clinton and Fox News analyst.
“Democrats and Republicans are pretty much even; they both vote 90 percent for their candidate and if you are winning independents by double digits you probably are winning.”
Morris also said that while it is “too early to tell” if the winner of the presidential campaign will carry more than 300 Electoral College votes, he added: “I certainly would not rule it out.”
“For example, [President Barack] Obama carried Indiana by 1 point [and] won the country by 7 points” in 2008, he said. “Romney is now ahead of Obama in Indiana … by 16 points with 15 percent of the vote counted. If Romney wins Indiana by 16, that certainly indicates a pretty effective national move since the Democrats won the state last time by 1 point.”
Early exit poll results from another key state — Kentucky — also bodes well for Romney, Morris said. In Kentucky, the former Massachusetts governor was up 23 percent shortly after polls closed, Morris said, noting Sen. John McCain took the state in 2008 by 15 percent of the vote.
“On the other hand, I am concerned about Florida, because Romney cannot win this election without Florida,” he said. “With a quarter of the vote in, Obama is 3 [percentage points] ahead. Of course that could be from Miami and that might not matter. We shall see.”
But he added: “I think if Obama wins Florida the election is over. But I do not think he will.”
Morris also predicted Romney would win Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, and may take Minnesota as well.
“The only thing you can say is that in those states which have voted early and you have a large number of returns already in, Romney is running at a pace to win by a rather large margin nationally,” he said.

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