Tags: tropical | storm | kiko | weaken

Tropical Storm Kiko to Weaken Near Southern California This Week

Tuesday, 03 Sep 2013 12:17 PM

By Clyde Hughes

As Hurricane season continues to prompt warnings all over the nation, the strength of Tropical Storm Kiko is expected to drop off in the southern Pacific Oceans over the next few days.

The slow-moving, meandering storm is 380 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja California, moving 7 mph, according to the Associated Press.

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On Sunday, Kiko was nearing hurricane strength, with sustained winds of 70 mph, but forecasters said it would soon weaken.

While the Pacific Ocean has seen some activity, this past August was the quietest for hurricanes since 2002, Bloomberg reported.

Six tropical systems have formed in the Atlantic since hurricane season kicked off June 1. None of those storms grew to hurricane strength or with sustained winds of 75 mph or more.

"At this point, I doubt that a super-active hurricane season will happen," Phil Klotzbach, lead author of Colorado State University's seasonal hurricane forecasts, told Bloomberg.

But some weather experts say the most active part of hurricane season – Aug. 20 through first week of October – is still upon us.

Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist at Weather Services International in Andover, Mass., said to Bloomberg that the Atlantic Ocean is primed for a "burst of activity" but the current calm of the ocean so far is "a bit of a head-scratcher."

On Aug. 8, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted above average activity in the Atlantic Ocean.

"Our confidence for an above-normal season is still high because the predicted atmospheric and oceanic conditions that are favorable for storm development have materialized," NOAA forecaster Gerry Bell said. "Also, two of the four named storms to-date formed in the deep tropical Atlantic, which historically is an indicator of an active season."

Bloomberg reported the increase of wind shear, or winds of different altitudes blow at varying speeds or directions, in the Atlantic could be the main culprit for the lack of storm activity. Wind shear can disrupt the structure of tropical storms and their growth.

"We haven’t had a hurricane and we don’t see anything that looks highly robust," Dan Kottlowski, a senior meteorologist at AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pa. told Bloomberg. "It just goes to show you that having warm water isn’t everything."

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Related stories:

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NOAA Hurricane Forecast: 6 Atlantic Storms Stronger Than Sandy This Summer

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