Political strategist Karl Rove says the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, N.C., this week is all about re-energizing the women, Hispanic, and young voters whose support put President Barack Obama in the White House in 2008.
That support has eroded significantly, Rove told Fox News’ Bret Baier Tuesday, and without it Obama loses to Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, who has a huge lead over the president among men.
“You need to have sort of three groups this convention is focused on,” Rove said, noting the Obama campaign has been working to build “the gap with women” to his advantage because the support Romney enjoys among men is too big to overcome.
At the same time, he said Obama has to reinvigorate the support from the Hispanic community as well because “he knows that the enthusiasm is very low” compared to 2008.
“We’re likely to see Hispanic turnout flat-line compared to 2008,” Rove predicted.
But he said the youth vote could prove to be the most crucial for the president because “he won them by 34 percent” four years ago but now leads Romney among 18- to 29-year-olds by only 8 points.
“That could be a huge shift,” Rove said. “So this convention has got to rally those three groups to his side, motivate them, energize them and keep them solid in his camp.”
Rove, who was former President George W. Bush's chief political adviser, said the Obama campaign will also concentrate a lot of effort on three battleground states — Florida, Colorado, and Nevada — where Hispanic turnout could also be the key to his re-election.
“Those three states represent the different faces of Latino voters. Florida has the most diverse population because it has a huge group of Cubans in the south, has Puerto Ricans in the . . . Orlando area, Central Americans elsewhere,” Rove said. “Nevada has a lot of Mexican-Americans. Colorado has a lot of Mexican-Americans.
“They’re going to be a key voter group, and that’s why he’s worried about them, because if they don't turn out in the numbers they turned out in 2008 and his support is not the same degree that it was in 2008, he could very well lose all three of those states,” he said.
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