Tags: nate | silver | book | 538

Nate Silver: 538 Blogger Sees Book Sales Spike as his Popularity Soars

Thursday, 08 Nov 2012 03:40 PM

By Michael Mullins

After correctly predicting the presidential election results of all 50 states on Tuesday, interest in New York Times Analyst Nate Silver has soared.

The University of Chicago grad and computer expert gave Obama a 90 percent chance of winning re-election based on his statistical model, which Washington Post Columnist Ezra Klein described as a "little more than a sophisticated form of poll aggregation," on Politico.com.

In the days preceding the election, Silver’s Five Thirty Eight blog was read by approximately 20 percent of all NYTimes.com readers, while his recently published book "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't" shot up 850 percent on Amazon following the election.

In 2008, Silver accurately predicted how 49 of the 50 states would vote.
Silver’s level of credibility for statistical analysis in politics is perhaps only rivaled by the president’s campaign’s ability to select celebrities to represent Obama who appeal most to his core constituents, in particular womwn.

According to CNN, Obama campaign number crunchers realized in late spring that actor George Clooney “had an almost gravitational tug on West Coast females ages 40 to 49.”

Clooney, along with other celebrities such as "Sex in the City" star Jessica Sarah Parker, were not only important on Election Day, but also for fundraising efforts in the preceding months, with the Obama campaign believing women, more than any other demographic, would give money for the chance to dine with either celeb and the president.

Despite a perceived narrowing in the polls in the weeks preceding the election, women voted overwhelmingly for Obama with 55 percent supporting the president compared to Romney’s 44 percent.

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