New Poll Shows Virginia Gov. Race Tightening

Image: New Poll Shows Virginia Gov. Race Tightening Republican Ken Cuccinelli, right, and Democrat Terry McAuliffe debate on Sept. 25 in McLean, Virginia.

Wednesday, 30 Oct 2013 02:34 PM

By Dan Weil

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A new poll shows Democrat Terry McAuliffe's lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli for the Virginia governorship has shrunk to just 4 percentage points.

Among likely voters, McAuliffe now leads 45 to 41 percent, the Quinnipiac University poll shows. A week ago the lead was 7 points — 46 to 39 percent.

McAuliffe's current 4-point lead over Cuccinelli isn't much bigger than the poll's 2.9-point margin of error.

Editor's Note: 22 Hidden Taxes and Fees Set to Hit You With Obamacare. Read the Guide to Protect Yourself.

A Newsmax/Zogby Poll released Tuesday showed that Democrat Terry McAuliffe is leading Republican Ken Cuccinelli by a margin of 35.5 percent to 30.4 percent, with Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis gathering enough support to tip the balance.

Zogby's polling showed that Sarvis is hurting the state attorney general's chances. Zogby found that among likely Virginia voters, lawyer and high-tech entrepreneur Sarvis drew 9 percent of the preference for the Nov. 5 contest, with 6.8 percent preferring another candidate and 18.3 percent undecided — an unusually high number of undecided voters at this late date, veteran pollster John Zogby told Newsmax.

When the "undecided" voters were removed from the survey, Zogby found that McAuliffe, a former Democratic national chairman, led Cuccinelli by 43 percent to 37 percent and Sarvis drew 11 percent, while 8 percent selected another candidate.

"Republicans do have cause to be worried, and yes, Sarvis is hurting Cuccinelli more than McAuliffe," Zogby told Newsmax shortly after the release of his survey. "What is especially important is that, among voters who are aged 18 to 29, Sarvis draws 24 percent — one in four voters."

In the Quinnipiac poll Sarvis trails with 9 percent.

Without Sarvis in the race, McAuliffe's current margin over Cuccinelli shrinks to 2 points — 47 to 45 percent.

A total of 4 percent of likely voters say they're still undecided, and 7 percent of those who favor a candidate say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind by Tuesday's election, according to Quinnipiac.

Editor's Note: 22 Hidden Taxes and Fees Set to Hit You With Obamacare. Read the Guide to Protect Yourself.

The survey of 1,182 likely voters was conducted Oct. 22-28.

In the last seven polls tallied by Real Clear Politics, McAuliffe led by an average of 9 percentage points.

Related Stories:

Newsmax/Zogby Poll: Libertarian Hurting Cuccinelli in Va. Gov. Race
Bill Clinton: Conservative Surge Could Win Virginia for Cuccinelli



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