Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney doesn’t have a majority delegate count wrapped up yet, despite his campaign’s claim of inevitability, various pundits say.
The Romney camp’s spin is that neither Rick Santorum nor Newt Gingrich can catch him and that he will garner the 1,144 majority of delegates well before the August convention, reports Politico
Not so fast, say Jeffrey Anderson of The Weekly Standard and Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics. “As for the claim that ‘the delegate math just doesn’t add up for the other candidates,’ it’s a bit beside the point,” Anderson writes.
“If Romney fails to reach 1,144 delegates and heads into a contested convention, it’s doubtful that he’ll take much solace in knowing that none of the other candidates hit 1,144 either.” And Santorum could possibly hit that number in any case, Anderson says. “If you go through the remaining states, assume Santorum improves a few points and starts to beat Romney quite often, then Santorum could work himself into a delegate tie with, or even a lead over, Romney, by the end of the contest.”
As for Trende, he says there is a good chance that Romney ends up with only 1,071 delegates. “A brokered convention is still a long shot,” he writes. “But one note how long it takes Romney to get into range; and two recall that we’ve perhaps been too generous with Romney in our delegate allocations in New York, Texas, and California, especially after the brutal March he is likely about to have.”
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