Pollster Usher: GOP Poised for Midterm Election Gains

Wednesday, 09 Apr 2014 02:29 PM

By Aaron Stern

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As President Barack Obama's popularity goes, so will go the Democrats who face midterm elections this year — and if Obama's approval ratings get much lower, those candidates will be in deep trouble., pollster Doug Usher says.

Already things don't look great for them, Usher, director of research for Purple Strategies, told J.D. Hayworth and John Bachman on "America's Forum" on Newsmax TV.

"It's pretty clear there's more enthusiasm among Republicans than there is among Democrats, which is noted in that cross-tab [poll]," Usher said. "Also, there's some other atmospheric issues that are problematic."

Among those "atmospheric issues" are widespread concerns over implementation of the Affordable Care Act. Republicans will look to seize on discontent with Obamacare, while Democrats will look to minimize those concerns.

"What you're going to see is Democrats are going to say it's not that big a deal and Republicans are going to say it's a referendum on the president," Usher said.

Story continues below video.



Midterm elections are typically as much a referendum on the sitting president as anything else.

Obama's approval ratings range between 45 percent and 50 percent, well above those of President George W. Bush in his sixth year and well below President Bill Clinton's in his sixth year, when he was the only modern president to gain Senate seats in the midterm election of his second term in office, Usher said.

Five months out, a lot remains to be determined. But right now things don't look great for Democrats, Usher said.

"I also caution that it's a bit early to make predictions about what's going to happen in November, but if you were to make odds bets right now, it certainly would be on Republican advances both in the House and the Senate," he said.

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