Tags: obama | romney | election | nj

Quinnipiac: Obama Holds Big Lead in NJ

Wednesday, 18 Jul 2012 09:15 AM

By Greg McDonald

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President Barack Obama is maintaining a double-digit lead over Mitt Romney in New Jersey, thanks in part to women who are backing him by a margin of 20 points over the likely Republican nominee.

According to the latest Quinnipiac University poll of 1,623 registered voters in the state taken July 9-15, Obama leads Romney overall by a margin of 49 percent to 38 percent.

The opinions of male voters were pretty evenly split in the survey, with 44 percent supporting Obama and 43 percent backing Romney.

But the views among women voters differed by a wide margin, with 53 percent backing Obama and 33 percent siding with Romney as the two candidates head toward the November election.

“Scratch New Jersey off any swing state lists,” observed Quinnipiac polling director Maurice Carroll. “President Barack Obama leads [former Massachusetts] Gov. Mitt Romney by double-digits,” Carroll said.

“Demographics are destiny,” Carroll added, noting that young voters under 35 still “like Obama a lot, by a margin of 41 points. Among black voters, Obama leads by 87 percent to 6 percent, while Romney holds a 46 percent to 39 percent lead among white voters overall.

When it comes to his job approval rating, Obama scores 51 percent to 45 percent. His favorability rating among New Jersey voters was 52 to 42 percent, while Romney got a negative favorabilty rating of 35 percent to 43 percent.

In one small spot of good news for Republicans, the poll revealed that New Jersey voters are split by a margin of 47 percent to 45 percent on whether Congress should repeal the Affordable Care Act, known as Obamacare. But they disagreed with Republicans on the Medicaid portion of the law, saying by a margin of 54 percent to 38 percent that the state should expand its Medicaid program.

The poll also provided some good news for incumbent Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez, giving him a big lead over Republican challenger Joseph Kyrillos. Voters aid they prefer Menendez to Kyrillos by a margin of 46 percent to 32 percent.

The Quinnipiac survey found Menendez leading in nearly every part of the state and by 12 points among women and five points among men.




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