Republicans Counting on 'Wave Election' to Stop Obama Agenda

Wednesday, 27 Nov 2013 11:06 AM

By Sandy Fitzgerald

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Voter anger over the botched Obamacare rollout and the president's rapidly declining poll numbers could lead to a rare "wave election," a new analysis claims.

The last such election — so named when one political party sweeps big numbers into office — occurred in 2010, when Republicans took control of the House after Congress had approved the Affordable Care Act, reports The Washington Post.

There have been only a few times over the past 100 years when one party took most of the elections. Now, if voter anger over Obamacare lasts, it could mean both the House and Senate would be controlled by Republicans after the 2014 election, making it nearly impossible for President Barack Obama to accomplish anything his last two years.

For now, voters are almost evenly divided over whether they favor a Democrat or Republican in Congress, according to a CNN/ORC International poll taken Nov. 18-20.

That survey showed 49 percent of registered voters favored a Republican for Congress, with 47 percent favoring a Democrat. Generally, such polls usually favor Democrats, The Washington Post reports, even in 2010, when Republicans took the House.

In addition, Obama's dramatically dropping numbers may not improve in time to affect the 2014 ballot. Historically, presidents do not regain their numbers when they drop during the second term, The Post reports, and Obama’s numbers are starting to look like former President George W. Bush’s poor ratings toward the end of his presidency.

However, the Republican Party's numbers also are low. According to an October Washington Post/ABC News poll, only about one-third of those polled had a favorable impression of the Republican Party, compared to 46 percent for the Democratic Party.

Democratic incumbents in red states such as Arkansas, Louisiana, North Carolina, and Alaska could have the most difficulty next year, because most voters in those states do not like the president's healthcare program.

Still, upcoming negotiations over the federal budget could help boost Democratic chances. The party's poll numbers climbed during the 16-day government shutdown, which many voters blamed on Republicans, particularly tea party-backed Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.

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