Tags: South | GOP | Huckabee | Barbour | Perry | Bush

South Could Hold Key to 2012 GOP Nod

Sunday, 22 May 2011 10:20 AM

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
|  A   A  
  Copy Shortlink
A Southerner running for the Republican presidential nomination has a built-in electoral advantage over candidates from other areas of the country, and the party’s choice for 2012 also could hinge on South, GOP, Huckabee, Barbour, Perry, BushSouthern primacy if a popular native emerges, FiveThirtyEight blogger Nate Silver writes in The New York Times.

The contest so far has been notable for Southerners dropping out: Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee.

But if a strong regional candidate were to step up, Silver writes, the South’s well-documented preference for home-grown talent, and the region’s overall tendency to vote Republican in national contests, combine to give a viable Southerner an edge.

In theory, Georgians Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain, along with Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, could benefit from a regional solidarity that also impacts key contests elsewhere. A Southerner has won or placed second in every Iowa Republican presidential caucus since 1980, Silver notes.

But he contends that the GOP’s Southern effect would be more pronounced for two figures who already have said no: Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Both could tap into that region-wide base, Silver writes, in important primaries such as South Carolina while winning their own populous, delegate-rich home states. The Southern advantage is strong enough, Silver writes, to overcome a relatively late start.

© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
  Copy Shortlink
Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
 
Email:
Country
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
 
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

Carly Fiorina May Test Her Luck as GOP 2016 Hopeful

Wednesday, 26 Nov 2014 07:32 AM

Former Hewlett-Packard chief executive Carly Fiorina is actively pursuing a possible 2016 presidential run, The Washingt . . .

Poll: Americans Don't Want Shutdown Over Amnesty

Tuesday, 25 Nov 2014 13:15 PM

Americans may disagree over President Barack Obama's unilateral executive action on amnesty for illegal aliens, but they . . .

Under McConnell, Senate Will No Longer Have Fridays Off

Tuesday, 25 Nov 2014 12:04 PM

Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell may not be able to fulfill all the promises made during the campaign, but as the incoming  . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

 
NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved