Sabato: GOP Likely to Take Back Senate

Friday, 24 Jun 2011 12:22 PM

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Republicans need to gain only four seats to win back control of the Senate. And they’re likely to do so easily, says University of Virginia Senate, 2012 Elections, Larry Sabatopolitical expert Larry Sabato.

"Barring an unexpected re-election landslide by President Obama, Republicans are at least slightly favored to take the Senate. It's just a basic matter of numbers," Sabato wrote in a new report, according to Paul Bedard of U.S. News & World Report.

Sabato forecasts Republicans will keep their seats in North Dakota, Missouri, Montana, and Nebraska. And he thinks the GOP has a good chance to snag Democratic-held seats in Virginia, New Mexico and Wisconsin. Wins in all those races would give Republicans 54 seats in the Senate.

In addition, the GOP has a shot at Democratic seats in Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Connecticut, West Virginia, and Hawaii, Sabato says. Wins in six of those races would give Republicans a filibuster-proof 60-seat presence.



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